Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson holds a commanding position in Ohio's 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election against Democrat Jerrad Christian. The district's Republican tilt, reinforced by Donald Trump's 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and post-redistricting boundaries favoring the GOP, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability for the Republican Party. Recent August 2026 polling averages show Balderson ahead by double digits in a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan forecasters, with primary results confirming both nominees without major disruptions. A significant national Democratic wave, unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or late-breaking campaign developments could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOH-12 House Election Winner
OH-12 House Election Winner
$33,932 ปริมาณ
$33,932 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$33,932 ปริมาณ
$33,932 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$24,097 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$9,834 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson holds a commanding position in Ohio's 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election against Democrat Jerrad Christian. The district's Republican tilt, reinforced by Donald Trump's 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and post-redistricting boundaries favoring the GOP, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability for the Republican Party. Recent August 2026 polling averages show Balderson ahead by double digits in a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan forecasters, with primary results confirming both nominees without major disruptions. A significant national Democratic wave, unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or late-breaking campaign developments could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,932วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson holds a commanding position in Ohio's 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election against Democrat Jerrad Christian. The district's Republican tilt, reinforced by Donald Trump's 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and post-redistricting boundaries favoring the GOP, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability for the Republican Party. Recent August 2026 polling averages show Balderson ahead by double digits in a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan forecasters, with primary results confirming both nominees without major disruptions. A significant national Democratic wave, unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or late-breaking campaign developments could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,932วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson holds a commanding position in Ohio's 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election against Democrat Jerrad Christian. The district's Republican tilt, reinforced by Donald Trump's 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and post-redistricting boundaries favoring the GOP, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability for the Republican Party. Recent August 2026 polling averages show Balderson ahead by double digits in a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan forecasters, with primary results confirming both nominees without major disruptions. A significant national Democratic wave, unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or late-breaking campaign developments could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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