Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 81.5% to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District, reflecting midterm headwinds for incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, a 2024 freshman victor in this toss-up seat (Cook PVI R+0). Recent internal Democratic polls from early May show challengers edging Barrett by 1 point, boosting optimism amid historical patterns where the president's party loses an average of 25 House seats in midterms. A crowded Democratic primary—featuring Bridget Brink (Emily's List-backed former ambassador) and William Lawrence (newly endorsed by Rep. Ro Khanna)—heads to the August 4 contest, with early surveys indicating consolidation potential against Barrett's unopposed renomination. Fundraising edges and national swing-state targeting further solidify the implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
82%
Republican Party
18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,478 ปริมาณ
82%
Republican Party
$1,912 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 81.5% to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District, reflecting midterm headwinds for incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, a 2024 freshman victor in this toss-up seat (Cook PVI R+0). Recent internal Democratic polls from early May show challengers edging Barrett by 1 point, boosting optimism amid historical patterns where the president's party loses an average of 25 House seats in midterms. A crowded Democratic primary—featuring Bridget Brink (Emily's List-backed former ambassador) and William Lawrence (newly endorsed by Rep. Ro Khanna)—heads to the August 4 contest, with early surveys indicating consolidation potential against Barrett's unopposed renomination. Fundraising edges and national swing-state targeting further solidify the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,390วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 81.5% to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District, reflecting midterm headwinds for incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, a 2024 freshman victor in this toss-up seat (Cook PVI R+0). Recent internal Democratic polls from early May show challengers edging Barrett by 1 point, boosting optimism amid historical patterns where the president's party loses an average of 25 House seats in midterms. A crowded Democratic primary—featuring Bridget Brink (Emily's List-backed former ambassador) and William Lawrence (newly endorsed by Rep. Ro Khanna)—heads to the August 4 contest, with early surveys indicating consolidation potential against Barrett's unopposed renomination. Fundraising edges and national swing-state targeting further solidify the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,390วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 81.5% to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District, reflecting midterm headwinds for incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, a 2024 freshman victor in this toss-up seat (Cook PVI R+0). Recent internal Democratic polls from early May show challengers edging Barrett by 1 point, boosting optimism amid historical patterns where the president's party loses an average of 25 House seats in midterms. A crowded Democratic primary—featuring Bridget Brink (Emily's List-backed former ambassador) and William Lawrence (newly endorsed by Rep. Ro Khanna)—heads to the August 4 contest, with early surveys indicating consolidation potential against Barrett's unopposed renomination. Fundraising edges and national swing-state targeting further solidify the implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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