Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House district, which has remained under Democratic control since 1990 and delivered her a 33-point margin in the 2024 general election. The Republican primary field offers limited opposition, centered on perennial candidate Mark Coester, leaving the race rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Vermont’s consistent partisan voting patterns, combined with Balint’s established fundraising and name recognition, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Only a significant late-cycle event, such as an unforeseen scandal or a sharp national swing, would realistically reopen the contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$11,261 ปริมาณ
$11,261 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$11,261 ปริมาณ
$11,261 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,357 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$4,904 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House district, which has remained under Democratic control since 1990 and delivered her a 33-point margin in the 2024 general election. The Republican primary field offers limited opposition, centered on perennial candidate Mark Coester, leaving the race rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Vermont’s consistent partisan voting patterns, combined with Balint’s established fundraising and name recognition, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Only a significant late-cycle event, such as an unforeseen scandal or a sharp national swing, would realistically reopen the contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,261วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House district, which has remained under Democratic control since 1990 and delivered her a 33-point margin in the 2024 general election. The Republican primary field offers limited opposition, centered on perennial candidate Mark Coester, leaving the race rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Vermont’s consistent partisan voting patterns, combined with Balint’s established fundraising and name recognition, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Only a significant late-cycle event, such as an unforeseen scandal or a sharp national swing, would realistically reopen the contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,261วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House district, which has remained under Democratic control since 1990 and delivered her a 33-point margin in the 2024 general election. The Republican primary field offers limited opposition, centered on perennial candidate Mark Coester, leaving the race rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Vermont’s consistent partisan voting patterns, combined with Balint’s established fundraising and name recognition, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Only a significant late-cycle event, such as an unforeseen scandal or a sharp national swing, would realistically reopen the contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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