Michigan's 13th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus at 97% odds for a Democratic House election winner, reflecting consistent general election margins above 68% for Democrats, including incumbent Shri Thanedar's 68.6% victory in 2024. The April 21 filing deadline solidified a crowded Democratic primary field—featuring Thanedar, state Rep. Donavan McKinney, and others—ahead of the August 4 contest, where Thanedar holds a $5 million cash-on-hand edge. Republican primary contenders, including repeat nominee Martell Bivings, face steep historical deficits under Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Realistic challenges would require a major Democratic nominee scandal, indictment, or unprecedented national GOP wave to overcome the district's urban Detroit demographics and voter registration advantages.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-13 House Election Winner
MI-13 House Election Winner
$35,397 ปริมาณ
$35,397 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$35,397 ปริมาณ
$35,397 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$22,148 ปริมาณ
97%
Republican Party
$13,249 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus at 97% odds for a Democratic House election winner, reflecting consistent general election margins above 68% for Democrats, including incumbent Shri Thanedar's 68.6% victory in 2024. The April 21 filing deadline solidified a crowded Democratic primary field—featuring Thanedar, state Rep. Donavan McKinney, and others—ahead of the August 4 contest, where Thanedar holds a $5 million cash-on-hand edge. Republican primary contenders, including repeat nominee Martell Bivings, face steep historical deficits under Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Realistic challenges would require a major Democratic nominee scandal, indictment, or unprecedented national GOP wave to overcome the district's urban Detroit demographics and voter registration advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,397วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus at 97% odds for a Democratic House election winner, reflecting consistent general election margins above 68% for Democrats, including incumbent Shri Thanedar's 68.6% victory in 2024. The April 21 filing deadline solidified a crowded Democratic primary field—featuring Thanedar, state Rep. Donavan McKinney, and others—ahead of the August 4 contest, where Thanedar holds a $5 million cash-on-hand edge. Republican primary contenders, including repeat nominee Martell Bivings, face steep historical deficits under Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Realistic challenges would require a major Democratic nominee scandal, indictment, or unprecedented national GOP wave to overcome the district's urban Detroit demographics and voter registration advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,397วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus at 97% odds for a Democratic House election winner, reflecting consistent general election margins above 68% for Democrats, including incumbent Shri Thanedar's 68.6% victory in 2024. The April 21 filing deadline solidified a crowded Democratic primary field—featuring Thanedar, state Rep. Donavan McKinney, and others—ahead of the August 4 contest, where Thanedar holds a $5 million cash-on-hand edge. Republican primary contenders, including repeat nominee Martell Bivings, face steep historical deficits under Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Realistic challenges would require a major Democratic nominee scandal, indictment, or unprecedented national GOP wave to overcome the district's urban Detroit demographics and voter registration advantages.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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