The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.7% trader consensus to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District House seat in November 2026, driven by the district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9 and consistent Democratic general election victories—58% in 2024, 61% in 2022, and 50% in 2020—despite incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens running for Senate, creating an open seat. Recent filing deadline on April 21 revealed a competitive Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Jeremy Moss and others with substantial fundraising (e.g., Moss at $572,000 cash on hand), contrasted by a thin Republican field lacking resources. Forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Upsets could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, Democratic nominee scandal, or national Republican midterm wave ahead of the August 4 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$56,095 ปริมาณ
$56,095 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$56,095 ปริมาณ
$56,095 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$43,902 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$12,193 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.7% trader consensus to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District House seat in November 2026, driven by the district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9 and consistent Democratic general election victories—58% in 2024, 61% in 2022, and 50% in 2020—despite incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens running for Senate, creating an open seat. Recent filing deadline on April 21 revealed a competitive Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Jeremy Moss and others with substantial fundraising (e.g., Moss at $572,000 cash on hand), contrasted by a thin Republican field lacking resources. Forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Upsets could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, Democratic nominee scandal, or national Republican midterm wave ahead of the August 4 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,095วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.7% trader consensus to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District House seat in November 2026, driven by the district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9 and consistent Democratic general election victories—58% in 2024, 61% in 2022, and 50% in 2020—despite incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens running for Senate, creating an open seat. Recent filing deadline on April 21 revealed a competitive Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Jeremy Moss and others with substantial fundraising (e.g., Moss at $572,000 cash on hand), contrasted by a thin Republican field lacking resources. Forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Upsets could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, Democratic nominee scandal, or national Republican midterm wave ahead of the August 4 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,095วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.7% trader consensus to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District House seat in November 2026, driven by the district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9 and consistent Democratic general election victories—58% in 2024, 61% in 2022, and 50% in 2020—despite incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens running for Senate, creating an open seat. Recent filing deadline on April 21 revealed a competitive Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Jeremy Moss and others with substantial fundraising (e.g., Moss at $572,000 cash on hand), contrasted by a thin Republican field lacking resources. Forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Upsets could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, Democratic nominee scandal, or national Republican midterm wave ahead of the August 4 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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