The open seat in Michigan's Republican-leaning 10th Congressional District (R+3 PVI), vacated by Rep. John James for his 2026 gubernatorial run, drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 76.5% implied probability, diverging from Cook Political Report's Lean Republican rating and Sabato's toss-up assessment. A crowded eight-candidate Republican primary, with no dominant frontrunner evident in a March Strategic National poll (34% undecided post-James), contrasts with Democrats' five contenders, where prosecutor Christina Hines leads a late-April GSG survey (30%, 50% undecided) and attorney Eric Chung boasts top fundraising ($1.47 million raised). Q1 FEC reports through March 31 confirm Democratic cash competitiveness, positioning the party for potential consolidation ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-10 House Election Winner
MI-10 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
77%
Republican Party
25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$710 ปริมาณ
77%
Republican Party
$225 ปริมาณ
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's Republican-leaning 10th Congressional District (R+3 PVI), vacated by Rep. John James for his 2026 gubernatorial run, drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 76.5% implied probability, diverging from Cook Political Report's Lean Republican rating and Sabato's toss-up assessment. A crowded eight-candidate Republican primary, with no dominant frontrunner evident in a March Strategic National poll (34% undecided post-James), contrasts with Democrats' five contenders, where prosecutor Christina Hines leads a late-April GSG survey (30%, 50% undecided) and attorney Eric Chung boasts top fundraising ($1.47 million raised). Q1 FEC reports through March 31 confirm Democratic cash competitiveness, positioning the party for potential consolidation ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$935วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's Republican-leaning 10th Congressional District (R+3 PVI), vacated by Rep. John James for his 2026 gubernatorial run, drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 76.5% implied probability, diverging from Cook Political Report's Lean Republican rating and Sabato's toss-up assessment. A crowded eight-candidate Republican primary, with no dominant frontrunner evident in a March Strategic National poll (34% undecided post-James), contrasts with Democrats' five contenders, where prosecutor Christina Hines leads a late-April GSG survey (30%, 50% undecided) and attorney Eric Chung boasts top fundraising ($1.47 million raised). Q1 FEC reports through March 31 confirm Democratic cash competitiveness, positioning the party for potential consolidation ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$935วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Michigan's Republican-leaning 10th Congressional District (R+3 PVI), vacated by Rep. John James for his 2026 gubernatorial run, drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 76.5% implied probability, diverging from Cook Political Report's Lean Republican rating and Sabato's toss-up assessment. A crowded eight-candidate Republican primary, with no dominant frontrunner evident in a March Strategic National poll (34% undecided post-James), contrasts with Democrats' five contenders, where prosecutor Christina Hines leads a late-April GSG survey (30%, 50% undecided) and attorney Eric Chung boasts top fundraising ($1.47 million raised). Q1 FEC reports through March 31 confirm Democratic cash competitiveness, positioning the party for potential consolidation ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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