Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating primary challengers with roughly 72% of the vote, preserving his position in the heavily Democratic Bronx-based district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Torres’s prior victories by margins exceeding 50 points and the district’s partisan composition. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and several minor-party candidates face structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though improbable late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-15 House Election Winner
NY-15 House Election Winner
$46,403 ปริมาณ
$46,403 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
99%
Republican Party
<1%
$46,403 ปริมาณ
$46,403 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,077 ปริมาณ
99%
Republican Party
$19,327 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating primary challengers with roughly 72% of the vote, preserving his position in the heavily Democratic Bronx-based district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Torres’s prior victories by margins exceeding 50 points and the district’s partisan composition. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and several minor-party candidates face structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though improbable late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,403วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating primary challengers with roughly 72% of the vote, preserving his position in the heavily Democratic Bronx-based district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Torres’s prior victories by margins exceeding 50 points and the district’s partisan composition. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and several minor-party candidates face structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though improbable late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,403วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating primary challengers with roughly 72% of the vote, preserving his position in the heavily Democratic Bronx-based district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Torres’s prior victories by margins exceeding 50 points and the district’s partisan composition. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and several minor-party candidates face structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though improbable late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย