The NY-15 race centers on Democratic incumbent Ritchie Torres, who secured renomination with over 70% in the June 2026 primary against limited challengers. The Bronx-based district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and congressional contests and a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating. Republican nominee Stylo Sapaskis faces an uncontested or lightly contested path but contends with the seat’s demographic makeup and historical voting patterns that have produced 40- to 50-point Democratic advantages. Trader consensus at 99% for the Democratic Party tracks these structural factors, including Torres’s established position and the absence of competitive opposition or major recent developments that would alter the balance ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-15 House Election Winner
NY-15 House Election Winner
$46,403 ปริมาณ
$46,403 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
99%
Republican Party
<1%
$46,403 ปริมาณ
$46,403 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,077 ปริมาณ
99%
Republican Party
$19,327 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-15 race centers on Democratic incumbent Ritchie Torres, who secured renomination with over 70% in the June 2026 primary against limited challengers. The Bronx-based district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and congressional contests and a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating. Republican nominee Stylo Sapaskis faces an uncontested or lightly contested path but contends with the seat’s demographic makeup and historical voting patterns that have produced 40- to 50-point Democratic advantages. Trader consensus at 99% for the Democratic Party tracks these structural factors, including Torres’s established position and the absence of competitive opposition or major recent developments that would alter the balance ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,403วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-15 race centers on Democratic incumbent Ritchie Torres, who secured renomination with over 70% in the June 2026 primary against limited challengers. The Bronx-based district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and congressional contests and a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating. Republican nominee Stylo Sapaskis faces an uncontested or lightly contested path but contends with the seat’s demographic makeup and historical voting patterns that have produced 40- to 50-point Democratic advantages. Trader consensus at 99% for the Democratic Party tracks these structural factors, including Torres’s established position and the absence of competitive opposition or major recent developments that would alter the balance ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,403วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-15 race centers on Democratic incumbent Ritchie Torres, who secured renomination with over 70% in the June 2026 primary against limited challengers. The Bronx-based district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and congressional contests and a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating. Republican nominee Stylo Sapaskis faces an uncontested or lightly contested path but contends with the seat’s demographic makeup and historical voting patterns that have produced 40- to 50-point Democratic advantages. Trader consensus at 99% for the Democratic Party tracks these structural factors, including Torres’s established position and the absence of competitive opposition or major recent developments that would alter the balance ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย