The Groulx riding remains a toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest between CAQ incumbent Eric Girard and PQ challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin amid broader provincial volatility. Recent polling aggregates show the PQ narrowing the gap on the CAQ in francophone suburban ridings following the writ drop on August 27, while Girard's incumbency and ministerial profile provide a modest buffer against the shift. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and QS nominee Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail further back, with support fragmented across smaller parties. Limited riding-specific data since the new electoral map and nomination deadline approaching September 17 sustain the close pricing, as any late provincial momentum or turnout surge among nationalist voters could separate the frontrunners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJulie Tourangeau 45%
Eric Girard 45%
Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%
Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 22%
Julie Tourangeau
45%
Eric Girard
45%
Marie-Claude Sarrazin
44%
Marie-Noëlle Aubertin
22%
Julie Tourangeau 45%
Eric Girard 45%
Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%
Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 22%
Julie Tourangeau
45%
Eric Girard
45%
Marie-Claude Sarrazin
44%
Marie-Noëlle Aubertin
22%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Groulx riding remains a toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest between CAQ incumbent Eric Girard and PQ challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin amid broader provincial volatility. Recent polling aggregates show the PQ narrowing the gap on the CAQ in francophone suburban ridings following the writ drop on August 27, while Girard's incumbency and ministerial profile provide a modest buffer against the shift. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and QS nominee Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail further back, with support fragmented across smaller parties. Limited riding-specific data since the new electoral map and nomination deadline approaching September 17 sustain the close pricing, as any late provincial momentum or turnout surge among nationalist voters could separate the frontrunners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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