The Falealili No.1 by-election in Samoa follows the Supreme Court’s March 2026 ruling voiding the prior FAST incumbent’s win on bribery charges, leaving the seat open under electoral law. Trader consensus reflects a wide-open field with numerous candidates from FAST, HRPP, and independent backgrounds, producing closely matched probabilities around the leading names and broad 50% pricing on others. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the timing of the writ for polling sustain the tight positioning, as no single contender has established a dominant path to victory. Scheduled nomination deadlines or early campaigning developments could shift sentiment by clarifying viable frontrunners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTaveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 29%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 22%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 16%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
29%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
22%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
16%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
15%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
8%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
7%
Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
7%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 29%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 22%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 16%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
$60 ปริมาณ
7%
Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
$80 ปริมาณ
7%
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili No.1 by-election in Samoa follows the Supreme Court’s March 2026 ruling voiding the prior FAST incumbent’s win on bribery charges, leaving the seat open under electoral law. Trader consensus reflects a wide-open field with numerous candidates from FAST, HRPP, and independent backgrounds, producing closely matched probabilities around the leading names and broad 50% pricing on others. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the timing of the writ for polling sustain the tight positioning, as no single contender has established a dominant path to victory. Scheduled nomination deadlines or early campaigning developments could shift sentiment by clarifying viable frontrunners.
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$140วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili No.1 by-election in Samoa follows the Supreme Court’s March 2026 ruling voiding the prior FAST incumbent’s win on bribery charges, leaving the seat open under electoral law. Trader consensus reflects a wide-open field with numerous candidates from FAST, HRPP, and independent backgrounds, producing closely matched probabilities around the leading names and broad 50% pricing on others. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the timing of the writ for polling sustain the tight positioning, as no single contender has established a dominant path to victory. Scheduled nomination deadlines or early campaigning developments could shift sentiment by clarifying viable frontrunners.
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$140วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Falealili No.1 by-election in Samoa follows the Supreme Court’s March 2026 ruling voiding the prior FAST incumbent’s win on bribery charges, leaving the seat open under electoral law. Trader consensus reflects a wide-open field with numerous candidates from FAST, HRPP, and independent backgrounds, producing closely matched probabilities around the leading names and broad 50% pricing on others. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the timing of the writ for polling sustain the tight positioning, as no single contender has established a dominant path to victory. Scheduled nomination deadlines or early campaigning developments could shift sentiment by clarifying viable frontrunners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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