**Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris (R), chair of the House Freedom Caucus and seeking a ninth term since 2010, anchors Republican trader consensus at 57% implied probability in Maryland's 1st Congressional District, a reliably conservative Eastern Shore seat rated Safe R by forecasters.** Recent Democratic primary filings in February revealed a crowded field including Dan Schwartz, who raised over $500,000, and challengers like Randi White, fueling optimism among Democrats targeting Harris over his 2020 election challenges. Tightening odds reflect fresh May 14 reports of Democratic leaders, including Senate President Bill Ferguson, reviving special session talks to redraw maps for an 8-0 Democratic delegation—potentially postponing June 23 primaries and altering district lines amid legal uncertainties. Primaries and possible court rulings loom as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
57%
Democratic Party
43%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,242 ปริมาณ
57%
Democratic Party
$2,930 ปริมาณ
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris (R), chair of the House Freedom Caucus and seeking a ninth term since 2010, anchors Republican trader consensus at 57% implied probability in Maryland's 1st Congressional District, a reliably conservative Eastern Shore seat rated Safe R by forecasters.** Recent Democratic primary filings in February revealed a crowded field including Dan Schwartz, who raised over $500,000, and challengers like Randi White, fueling optimism among Democrats targeting Harris over his 2020 election challenges. Tightening odds reflect fresh May 14 reports of Democratic leaders, including Senate President Bill Ferguson, reviving special session talks to redraw maps for an 8-0 Democratic delegation—potentially postponing June 23 primaries and altering district lines amid legal uncertainties. Primaries and possible court rulings loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,172วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris (R), chair of the House Freedom Caucus and seeking a ninth term since 2010, anchors Republican trader consensus at 57% implied probability in Maryland's 1st Congressional District, a reliably conservative Eastern Shore seat rated Safe R by forecasters.** Recent Democratic primary filings in February revealed a crowded field including Dan Schwartz, who raised over $500,000, and challengers like Randi White, fueling optimism among Democrats targeting Harris over his 2020 election challenges. Tightening odds reflect fresh May 14 reports of Democratic leaders, including Senate President Bill Ferguson, reviving special session talks to redraw maps for an 8-0 Democratic delegation—potentially postponing June 23 primaries and altering district lines amid legal uncertainties. Primaries and possible court rulings loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,172วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris (R), chair of the House Freedom Caucus and seeking a ninth term since 2010, anchors Republican trader consensus at 57% implied probability in Maryland's 1st Congressional District, a reliably conservative Eastern Shore seat rated Safe R by forecasters.** Recent Democratic primary filings in February revealed a crowded field including Dan Schwartz, who raised over $500,000, and challengers like Randi White, fueling optimism among Democrats targeting Harris over his 2020 election challenges. Tightening odds reflect fresh May 14 reports of Democratic leaders, including Senate President Bill Ferguson, reviving special session talks to redraw maps for an 8-0 Democratic delegation—potentially postponing June 23 primaries and altering district lines amid legal uncertainties. Primaries and possible court rulings loom as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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