The 2026 Quebec general election in Rosemont, scheduled for October 5, features an open seat previously held by independent Vincent Marissal. Projections from late August place the race as a toss-up between Québec solidaire’s Gisèle Pouhe Njall and Parti Québécois candidate Pierre-Luc Brillant, with the former holding a modest edge in simulated outcomes. Recent candidate announcements, including Liberal David Lavoie, CAQ’s Nour Aliyah Attié, and Conservative Mildred Mathieu, alongside the broader provincial campaign launch, have kept probabilities balanced. Trader consensus reflects the riding’s left-leaning profile, historical PQ-QS competition, and limited polling differentiation so far, with separation likely hinging on turnout among key voter blocs or late-campaign momentum shifts in health care and housing priorities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDavid Lavoie 43%
Pierre-Luc Brillant 43%
Gisèle Pouhe Njall 43%
Mildred Mathieu 26%
David Lavoie
43%
Pierre-Luc Brillant
43%
Gisèle Pouhe Njall
43%
Mildred Mathieu
26%
Nour Aliyah Attié
24%
David Lavoie 43%
Pierre-Luc Brillant 43%
Gisèle Pouhe Njall 43%
Mildred Mathieu 26%
David Lavoie
43%
Pierre-Luc Brillant
43%
Gisèle Pouhe Njall
43%
Mildred Mathieu
26%
Nour Aliyah Attié
24%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Quebec general election in Rosemont, scheduled for October 5, features an open seat previously held by independent Vincent Marissal. Projections from late August place the race as a toss-up between Québec solidaire’s Gisèle Pouhe Njall and Parti Québécois candidate Pierre-Luc Brillant, with the former holding a modest edge in simulated outcomes. Recent candidate announcements, including Liberal David Lavoie, CAQ’s Nour Aliyah Attié, and Conservative Mildred Mathieu, alongside the broader provincial campaign launch, have kept probabilities balanced. Trader consensus reflects the riding’s left-leaning profile, historical PQ-QS competition, and limited polling differentiation so far, with separation likely hinging on turnout among key voter blocs or late-campaign momentum shifts in health care and housing priorities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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