The 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 features a toss-up in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard and Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie further back. Cliche-Rivard captured the Montreal riding in the 2023 by-election after decades of Liberal control, reflecting its urban, left-leaning electorate focused on housing and immigration issues. Current projections from sources like 338Canada and Qc125 show the two leading parties clustered closely, with limited separation driven by incumbency visibility, ground organization, and early positioning after the August 27 writ. Developments that could shift the balance include candidate debates, provincial party momentum, turnout among key voter groups, or endorsements ahead of the September 17 nomination deadline. Trader consensus reflects this competitive equilibrium amid the short campaign window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGuillaume Cliche-Rivard 42%
Benoit Clermont 42%
Anthony Lavoie 12%
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
42%
Benoit Clermont
42%
Anthony Lavoie
25%
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 42%
Benoit Clermont 42%
Anthony Lavoie 12%
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
42%
Benoit Clermont
42%
Anthony Lavoie
25%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 features a toss-up in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard and Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie further back. Cliche-Rivard captured the Montreal riding in the 2023 by-election after decades of Liberal control, reflecting its urban, left-leaning electorate focused on housing and immigration issues. Current projections from sources like 338Canada and Qc125 show the two leading parties clustered closely, with limited separation driven by incumbency visibility, ground organization, and early positioning after the August 27 writ. Developments that could shift the balance include candidate debates, provincial party momentum, turnout among key voter groups, or endorsements ahead of the September 17 nomination deadline. Trader consensus reflects this competitive equilibrium amid the short campaign window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย