Recent polling consistently places the SPD at 6-7% in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, reflecting its position as a junior partner in the outgoing CDU-led coalition and persistent weakness among eastern German voters. AfD dominance near 41-43% and CDU support around 22-24% have intensified pressure on smaller parties, with SPD figures hovering just above the 5% entry threshold. Late-campaign tactical voting initiatives aim to bolster SPD and Green turnout to block potential AfD gains, while broader dissatisfaction with federal and state economic conditions continues to constrain social democratic support. Trader consensus in the 5-7% band aligns closely with these August surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว5-7% 59%
7-9% 32%
<5% 5%
9%+ 5.2%
<5%
5%
5-7%
59%
7-9%
32%
9%+
5%
5-7% 59%
7-9% 32%
<5% 5%
9%+ 5.2%
<5%
5%
5-7%
59%
7-9%
32%
9%+
5%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places the SPD at 6-7% in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, reflecting its position as a junior partner in the outgoing CDU-led coalition and persistent weakness among eastern German voters. AfD dominance near 41-43% and CDU support around 22-24% have intensified pressure on smaller parties, with SPD figures hovering just above the 5% entry threshold. Late-campaign tactical voting initiatives aim to bolster SPD and Green turnout to block potential AfD gains, while broader dissatisfaction with federal and state economic conditions continues to constrain social democratic support. Trader consensus in the 5-7% band aligns closely with these August surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย