Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 4–5 percent, consistent with the market’s leading 3–5 percent outcome. The party’s 5.9 percent result from 2021 has eroded amid a dominant AfD at 41–43 percent and a fragmented opposition, with multiple surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap showing the Greens clustered near or below the 5 percent threshold required for seats. Their campaign focuses on climate policy and preventing an AfD majority, yet no sustained polling rebound has materialized in the final weeks, keeping the 5–7 percent range a clear secondary option while sub-3 percent and 7 percent-plus remain low-probability outliers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว3-5% 60%
5-7% 29%
7%+ 12%
<3% 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
5%
3-5%
60%
5-7%
29%
7%+
12%
3-5% 60%
5-7% 29%
7%+ 12%
<3% 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
$260 ปริมาณ
5%
3-5%
$424 ปริมาณ
60%
5-7%
$626 ปริมาณ
29%
7%+
$1,233 ปริมาณ
12%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 4–5 percent, consistent with the market’s leading 3–5 percent outcome. The party’s 5.9 percent result from 2021 has eroded amid a dominant AfD at 41–43 percent and a fragmented opposition, with multiple surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap showing the Greens clustered near or below the 5 percent threshold required for seats. Their campaign focuses on climate policy and preventing an AfD majority, yet no sustained polling rebound has materialized in the final weeks, keeping the 5–7 percent range a clear secondary option while sub-3 percent and 7 percent-plus remain low-probability outliers.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,544วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 4–5 percent, consistent with the market’s leading 3–5 percent outcome. The party’s 5.9 percent result from 2021 has eroded amid a dominant AfD at 41–43 percent and a fragmented opposition, with multiple surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap showing the Greens clustered near or below the 5 percent threshold required for seats. Their campaign focuses on climate policy and preventing an AfD majority, yet no sustained polling rebound has materialized in the final weeks, keeping the 5–7 percent range a clear secondary option while sub-3 percent and 7 percent-plus remain low-probability outliers.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,544วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 4–5 percent, consistent with the market’s leading 3–5 percent outcome. The party’s 5.9 percent result from 2021 has eroded amid a dominant AfD at 41–43 percent and a fragmented opposition, with multiple surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap showing the Greens clustered near or below the 5 percent threshold required for seats. Their campaign focuses on climate policy and preventing an AfD majority, yet no sustained polling rebound has materialized in the final weeks, keeping the 5–7 percent range a clear secondary option while sub-3 percent and 7 percent-plus remain low-probability outliers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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