Recent polling averages place the CDU at 22–24% for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, with AfD support stable near 41–43%. This positioning reflects sustained voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under Minister-President Sven Schulze, alongside AfD gains on regional issues such as immigration and economic concerns in eastern Germany. Multiple surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix through early August show little movement in CDU numbers over recent months, keeping the party well behind AfD and limiting upside scenarios above 26%. Traders price the 20–23% and 23–26% brackets highest because these ranges align directly with current survey trends and the narrow remaining campaign window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว20-23% 40%
23-26% 33%
<20% 21%
26%+ 11%
<20%
21%
20-23%
40%
23-26%
33%
26%+
11%
20-23% 40%
23-26% 33%
<20% 21%
26%+ 11%
<20%
21%
20-23%
40%
23-26%
33%
26%+
11%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the CDU at 22–24% for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, with AfD support stable near 41–43%. This positioning reflects sustained voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under Minister-President Sven Schulze, alongside AfD gains on regional issues such as immigration and economic concerns in eastern Germany. Multiple surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix through early August show little movement in CDU numbers over recent months, keeping the party well behind AfD and limiting upside scenarios above 26%. Traders price the 20–23% and 23–26% brackets highest because these ranges align directly with current survey trends and the narrow remaining campaign window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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