Recent polling averages for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt state election place the BSW at 4–5 percent, reflecting steady but limited support in a contest dominated by the AfD at 41–43 percent and the CDU at 22–24 percent. Multiple August surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix show the party clustered near the five-percent threshold, with outcomes ranging from 3 to 6 percent depending on the firm. As a newer entrant without prior representation in the state parliament, the BSW competes for protest and left-leaning voters alongside Die Linke (around 13 percent) and the SPD (6–7 percent), while facing structural challenges in building name recognition and turnout in eastern Germany. Trader consensus on a 3–5 percent result aligns with this narrow band of recent data, though modest late-campaign shifts could push results into the adjacent 5–7 percent range or below 3 percent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?
3-5% 56%
5-7% 22%
<3% 22%
7%+ 7.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
22%
3-5%
56%
5-7%
22%
7%+
7%
3-5% 56%
5-7% 22%
<3% 22%
7%+ 7.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
$67 ปริมาณ
22%
3-5%
$20 ปริมาณ
56%
5-7%
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
7%+
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt state election place the BSW at 4–5 percent, reflecting steady but limited support in a contest dominated by the AfD at 41–43 percent and the CDU at 22–24 percent. Multiple August surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix show the party clustered near the five-percent threshold, with outcomes ranging from 3 to 6 percent depending on the firm. As a newer entrant without prior representation in the state parliament, the BSW competes for protest and left-leaning voters alongside Die Linke (around 13 percent) and the SPD (6–7 percent), while facing structural challenges in building name recognition and turnout in eastern Germany. Trader consensus on a 3–5 percent result aligns with this narrow band of recent data, though modest late-campaign shifts could push results into the adjacent 5–7 percent range or below 3 percent.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$87วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt state election place the BSW at 4–5 percent, reflecting steady but limited support in a contest dominated by the AfD at 41–43 percent and the CDU at 22–24 percent. Multiple August surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix show the party clustered near the five-percent threshold, with outcomes ranging from 3 to 6 percent depending on the firm. As a newer entrant without prior representation in the state parliament, the BSW competes for protest and left-leaning voters alongside Die Linke (around 13 percent) and the SPD (6–7 percent), while facing structural challenges in building name recognition and turnout in eastern Germany. Trader consensus on a 3–5 percent result aligns with this narrow band of recent data, though modest late-campaign shifts could push results into the adjacent 5–7 percent range or below 3 percent.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$87วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt state election place the BSW at 4–5 percent, reflecting steady but limited support in a contest dominated by the AfD at 41–43 percent and the CDU at 22–24 percent. Multiple August surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix show the party clustered near the five-percent threshold, with outcomes ranging from 3 to 6 percent depending on the firm. As a newer entrant without prior representation in the state parliament, the BSW competes for protest and left-leaning voters alongside Die Linke (around 13 percent) and the SPD (6–7 percent), while facing structural challenges in building name recognition and turnout in eastern Germany. Trader consensus on a 3–5 percent result aligns with this narrow band of recent data, though modest late-campaign shifts could push results into the adjacent 5–7 percent range or below 3 percent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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