The by-election for Italy’s Chamber of Deputies in the Reggio Calabria uninominal constituency, set for 27–28 September 2026, follows Francesco Cannizzaro’s resignation after his mayoral victory. Trader positioning reflects a consolidated centre-left field behind cardiologist and former PD municipal group leader Frank Benedetto, backed by PD, M5S and allied lists, against centre-right candidate Fabio Roscioli, the national Forza Italia treasurer supported by FI, FdI, Lega and smaller allies. A split in the former governing coalition has boosted Domenico Giannetta under the Futuro Nazionale banner, while Francesco Toscano heads a smaller list. With voting imminent, recent coalition announcements and the absence of major last-minute shifts have kept implied probabilities close among frontrunners, leaving room for turnout patterns or late endorsements to alter outcomes before polls close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFabio Roscioli 44%
Frank Benedetto 43%
Domenico Giannetta 27%
Francesco Toscano 18%
Fabio Roscioli
44%
Frank Benedetto
43%
Domenico Giannetta
27%
Francesco Toscano
18%
Fabio Roscioli 44%
Frank Benedetto 43%
Domenico Giannetta 27%
Francesco Toscano 18%
Fabio Roscioli
44%
Frank Benedetto
43%
Domenico Giannetta
27%
Francesco Toscano
18%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The by-election for Italy’s Chamber of Deputies in the Reggio Calabria uninominal constituency, set for 27–28 September 2026, follows Francesco Cannizzaro’s resignation after his mayoral victory. Trader positioning reflects a consolidated centre-left field behind cardiologist and former PD municipal group leader Frank Benedetto, backed by PD, M5S and allied lists, against centre-right candidate Fabio Roscioli, the national Forza Italia treasurer supported by FI, FdI, Lega and smaller allies. A split in the former governing coalition has boosted Domenico Giannetta under the Futuro Nazionale banner, while Francesco Toscano heads a smaller list. With voting imminent, recent coalition announcements and the absence of major last-minute shifts have kept implied probabilities close among frontrunners, leaving room for turnout patterns or late endorsements to alter outcomes before polls close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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