Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced from the August 4 top-two primary with 54.5% against Republican Mary Silva's 27.2%, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating and D+15 partisan lean anchored in north King and south Snohomish County suburbs. DelBene's multimillion-dollar fundraising edge and endorsements from state leaders reinforce her position ahead of the November 3 general election. With no public general-election polls released since the primary and national midterm dynamics still developing, traders price Democrat margin buckets from 0-5% through 45%+ near even odds, alongside Republican win shares. This equilibrium captures uncertainty over exact turnout, suburban swing voter behavior, and any late-cycle national shifts that could compress or expand DelBene's historical comfortable victories without altering the seat's fundamental trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDemocrat 45%+ 49%
Democrat 40-45% 49%
Democrat 35-40% 49%
Democrat 30-35% 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 45%+
49%
Democrat 40-45%
49%
Democrat 35-40%
49%
Democrat 30-35%
49%
Democrat 25-30%
49%
Democrat 20-25%
48%
Democrat 15-20%
49%
Democrat 5-15%
49%
Democrat 0-5%
49%
Republican Wins
26%
Democrat 45%+ 49%
Democrat 40-45% 49%
Democrat 35-40% 49%
Democrat 30-35% 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 45%+
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Democrat 40-45%
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Democrat 35-40%
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Democrat 30-35%
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Democrat 25-30%
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Democrat 20-25%
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
Democrat 15-20%
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Democrat 5-15%
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Democrat 0-5%
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Republican Wins
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
The 2026 WA-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced from the August 4 top-two primary with 54.5% against Republican Mary Silva's 27.2%, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating and D+15 partisan lean anchored in north King and south Snohomish County suburbs. DelBene's multimillion-dollar fundraising edge and endorsements from state leaders reinforce her position ahead of the November 3 general election. With no public general-election polls released since the primary and national midterm dynamics still developing, traders price Democrat margin buckets from 0-5% through 45%+ near even odds, alongside Republican win shares. This equilibrium captures uncertainty over exact turnout, suburban swing voter behavior, and any late-cycle national shifts that could compress or expand DelBene's historical comfortable victories without altering the seat's fundamental trajectory.
The 2026 WA-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 4:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 WA-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced from the August 4 top-two primary with 54.5% against Republican Mary Silva's 27.2%, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating and D+15 partisan lean anchored in north King and south Snohomish County suburbs. DelBene's multimillion-dollar fundraising edge and endorsements from state leaders reinforce her position ahead of the November 3 general election. With no public general-election polls released since the primary and national midterm dynamics still developing, traders price Democrat margin buckets from 0-5% through 45%+ near even odds, alongside Republican win shares. This equilibrium captures uncertainty over exact turnout, suburban swing voter behavior, and any late-cycle national shifts that could compress or expand DelBene's historical comfortable victories without altering the seat's fundamental trajectory.
The 2026 WA-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 4:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced from the August 4 top-two primary with 54.5% against Republican Mary Silva's 27.2%, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating and D+15 partisan lean anchored in north King and south Snohomish County suburbs. DelBene's multimillion-dollar fundraising edge and endorsements from state leaders reinforce her position ahead of the November 3 general election. With no public general-election polls released since the primary and national midterm dynamics still developing, traders price Democrat margin buckets from 0-5% through 45%+ near even odds, alongside Republican win shares. This equilibrium captures uncertainty over exact turnout, suburban swing voter behavior, and any late-cycle national shifts that could compress or expand DelBene's historical comfortable victories without altering the seat's fundamental trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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