Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market due to the Parti Québécois’s sustained polling strength among francophone voters and four consecutive byelection victories that have bolstered seat-projection models ahead of the October 5 election. The PQ holds roughly 30 percent support in recent surveys, often tied or narrowly ahead of the Liberals, yet benefits from favorable riding distribution that favors a majority government outcome. Christine Fréchette’s April ascension to CAQ leadership and premiership has stabilized her party’s numbers near 14 percent without reversing its decline since François Legault’s January resignation. Charles Milliard’s February Liberal leadership win has lifted that party to similar popular-vote levels, yet traders assign it only a secondary chance given weaker francophone penetration. Minor-party leaders Éric Duhaime, Sol Zanetti, Ruba Ghazal, and Bernard Drainville remain marginal in both polling and market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext Premier of Quebec
Next Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 69%
Charles Milliard 21%
Christine Fréchette 10.5%
Éric Duhaime 1.0%
$26,850 ปริมาณ
$26,850 ปริมาณ
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
65%
Charles Milliard
21%
Christine Fréchette
11%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 69%
Charles Milliard 21%
Christine Fréchette 10.5%
Éric Duhaime 1.0%
$26,850 ปริมาณ
$26,850 ปริมาณ
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
65%
Charles Milliard
21%
Christine Fréchette
11%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market due to the Parti Québécois’s sustained polling strength among francophone voters and four consecutive byelection victories that have bolstered seat-projection models ahead of the October 5 election. The PQ holds roughly 30 percent support in recent surveys, often tied or narrowly ahead of the Liberals, yet benefits from favorable riding distribution that favors a majority government outcome. Christine Fréchette’s April ascension to CAQ leadership and premiership has stabilized her party’s numbers near 14 percent without reversing its decline since François Legault’s January resignation. Charles Milliard’s February Liberal leadership win has lifted that party to similar popular-vote levels, yet traders assign it only a secondary chance given weaker francophone penetration. Minor-party leaders Éric Duhaime, Sol Zanetti, Ruba Ghazal, and Bernard Drainville remain marginal in both polling and market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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