Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to KPRF winning fewer than 50 seats in the 450-member State Duma, with 50–59 seats a clear secondary option. This positioning stems from the mixed electoral system of 225 proportional-representation seats and 225 single-member districts, combined with recent polling from government-affiliated firms showing KPRF support in the 13–16% range among decided voters. Reports of administrative pressure, including sidelining competitive district candidates and regional detentions in traditional strongholds such as Altai Krai, have limited the party’s ability to match or exceed its 2021 seat total of 56. Competition from New People and LDPR for second place further fragments the opposition vote, while the three-day voting window ending September 20 offers little scope for late shifts. These structural and campaign factors align with the market’s emphasis on outcomes at or below current representation levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<50 73%
50–59 22%
80–89 4.5%
100+ 4.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
<50
73%
50–59
22%
60–69
3%
70–79
2%
80–89
5%
90–99
3%
100+
5%
<50 73%
50–59 22%
80–89 4.5%
100+ 4.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
<50
$4,479 ปริมาณ
73%
50–59
$592 ปริมาณ
22%
60–69
$254 ปริมาณ
3%
70–79
$272 ปริมาณ
2%
80–89
$211 ปริมาณ
5%
90–99
$208 ปริมาณ
3%
100+
$279 ปริมาณ
5%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to KPRF winning fewer than 50 seats in the 450-member State Duma, with 50–59 seats a clear secondary option. This positioning stems from the mixed electoral system of 225 proportional-representation seats and 225 single-member districts, combined with recent polling from government-affiliated firms showing KPRF support in the 13–16% range among decided voters. Reports of administrative pressure, including sidelining competitive district candidates and regional detentions in traditional strongholds such as Altai Krai, have limited the party’s ability to match or exceed its 2021 seat total of 56. Competition from New People and LDPR for second place further fragments the opposition vote, while the three-day voting window ending September 20 offers little scope for late shifts. These structural and campaign factors align with the market’s emphasis on outcomes at or below current representation levels.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,295วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to KPRF winning fewer than 50 seats in the 450-member State Duma, with 50–59 seats a clear secondary option. This positioning stems from the mixed electoral system of 225 proportional-representation seats and 225 single-member districts, combined with recent polling from government-affiliated firms showing KPRF support in the 13–16% range among decided voters. Reports of administrative pressure, including sidelining competitive district candidates and regional detentions in traditional strongholds such as Altai Krai, have limited the party’s ability to match or exceed its 2021 seat total of 56. Competition from New People and LDPR for second place further fragments the opposition vote, while the three-day voting window ending September 20 offers little scope for late shifts. These structural and campaign factors align with the market’s emphasis on outcomes at or below current representation levels.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,295วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to KPRF winning fewer than 50 seats in the 450-member State Duma, with 50–59 seats a clear secondary option. This positioning stems from the mixed electoral system of 225 proportional-representation seats and 225 single-member districts, combined with recent polling from government-affiliated firms showing KPRF support in the 13–16% range among decided voters. Reports of administrative pressure, including sidelining competitive district candidates and regional detentions in traditional strongholds such as Altai Krai, have limited the party’s ability to match or exceed its 2021 seat total of 56. Competition from New People and LDPR for second place further fragments the opposition vote, while the three-day voting window ending September 20 offers little scope for late shifts. These structural and campaign factors align with the market’s emphasis on outcomes at or below current representation levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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