**In the Laurier-Dorion riding, trader probabilities reflect a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Andrés Fontecilla and Liberal candidate Randy Legault-Rankin, with other nominees from the Parti Québécois, Conservative Party of Quebec, and Coalition Avenir Québec trailing.** The election call on August 27 for the October 5 vote has just begun the campaign, and projections from models such as 338Canada show QS and Liberals locked in a near toss-up based on transposed 2022 results and current provincial polling. Fontecilla’s incumbency since 2018 provides an edge in this Montreal district, while Liberals retain historical strength among key voter blocs on the island. Broader trends, including PQ leads province-wide and QS softness outside urban cores, keep the seat competitive. Limited early-campaign events or local polling have yet to produce separation, leaving room for shifts from debates, turnout patterns, or late developments before nomination closes on September 17.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDerek Lefebvre 44%
Andrés Fontecilla 43%
Kelly Lazo de la Vega 26%
Randy Legault-Rankin 26%
Derek Lefebvre
44%
Andrés Fontecilla
43%
Kelly Lazo de la Vega
26%
Randy Legault-Rankin
26%
Emil Parfyonov
26%
Derek Lefebvre 44%
Andrés Fontecilla 43%
Kelly Lazo de la Vega 26%
Randy Legault-Rankin 26%
Derek Lefebvre
44%
Andrés Fontecilla
43%
Kelly Lazo de la Vega
26%
Randy Legault-Rankin
26%
Emil Parfyonov
26%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**In the Laurier-Dorion riding, trader probabilities reflect a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Andrés Fontecilla and Liberal candidate Randy Legault-Rankin, with other nominees from the Parti Québécois, Conservative Party of Quebec, and Coalition Avenir Québec trailing.** The election call on August 27 for the October 5 vote has just begun the campaign, and projections from models such as 338Canada show QS and Liberals locked in a near toss-up based on transposed 2022 results and current provincial polling. Fontecilla’s incumbency since 2018 provides an edge in this Montreal district, while Liberals retain historical strength among key voter blocs on the island. Broader trends, including PQ leads province-wide and QS softness outside urban cores, keep the seat competitive. Limited early-campaign events or local polling have yet to produce separation, leaving room for shifts from debates, turnout patterns, or late developments before nomination closes on September 17.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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