New York's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat across forecasting outlets. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 87 percent of the vote against limited challengers, positioning her against Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj, a real estate developer who advanced unopposed. The district's urban composition in parts of Queens and the Bronx, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, underpins the market's 94.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic win on November 3. A major scandal, unexpected health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow margins, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited scope for reversal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-14 House Election Winner
NY-14 House Election Winner
$43,272 ปริมาณ
$43,272 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$43,272 ปริมาณ
$43,272 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$29,734 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$13,538 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat across forecasting outlets. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 87 percent of the vote against limited challengers, positioning her against Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj, a real estate developer who advanced unopposed. The district's urban composition in parts of Queens and the Bronx, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, underpins the market's 94.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic win on November 3. A major scandal, unexpected health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow margins, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited scope for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,272วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat across forecasting outlets. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 87 percent of the vote against limited challengers, positioning her against Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj, a real estate developer who advanced unopposed. The district's urban composition in parts of Queens and the Bronx, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, underpins the market's 94.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic win on November 3. A major scandal, unexpected health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow margins, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited scope for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,272วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat across forecasting outlets. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 87 percent of the vote against limited challengers, positioning her against Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj, a real estate developer who advanced unopposed. The district's urban composition in parts of Queens and the Bronx, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, underpins the market's 94.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic win on November 3. A major scandal, unexpected health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow margins, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited scope for reversal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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