Redistricting under Proposition 50 transformed California's 48th Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat—Kamala Harris carried it 50.3%-47.1% in 2024—prompting incumbent Darrell Issa's March retirement and drawing nine Democratic primary challengers against two Republicans. A April SurveyUSA poll of likely voters showed San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond (R) leading the June 2 top-two primary at 25%, with Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar at 12% and others trailing, yet forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the general election Lean Democratic. Trader consensus implies 84.5% odds for a Democratic Party winner, betting on a top Democrat like well-funded Brandon Riker or Marni von Wilpert advancing to leverage the district's partisan tilt in November, though a GOP top-two sweep remains a key risk ahead of the primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-48 House Election Winner
CA-48 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,754 ปริมาณ
85%
Republican Party
$4,139 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 transformed California's 48th Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat—Kamala Harris carried it 50.3%-47.1% in 2024—prompting incumbent Darrell Issa's March retirement and drawing nine Democratic primary challengers against two Republicans. A April SurveyUSA poll of likely voters showed San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond (R) leading the June 2 top-two primary at 25%, with Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar at 12% and others trailing, yet forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the general election Lean Democratic. Trader consensus implies 84.5% odds for a Democratic Party winner, betting on a top Democrat like well-funded Brandon Riker or Marni von Wilpert advancing to leverage the district's partisan tilt in November, though a GOP top-two sweep remains a key risk ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,893วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 transformed California's 48th Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat—Kamala Harris carried it 50.3%-47.1% in 2024—prompting incumbent Darrell Issa's March retirement and drawing nine Democratic primary challengers against two Republicans. A April SurveyUSA poll of likely voters showed San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond (R) leading the June 2 top-two primary at 25%, with Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar at 12% and others trailing, yet forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the general election Lean Democratic. Trader consensus implies 84.5% odds for a Democratic Party winner, betting on a top Democrat like well-funded Brandon Riker or Marni von Wilpert advancing to leverage the district's partisan tilt in November, though a GOP top-two sweep remains a key risk ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,893วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Proposition 50 transformed California's 48th Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat—Kamala Harris carried it 50.3%-47.1% in 2024—prompting incumbent Darrell Issa's March retirement and drawing nine Democratic primary challengers against two Republicans. A April SurveyUSA poll of likely voters showed San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond (R) leading the June 2 top-two primary at 25%, with Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar at 12% and others trailing, yet forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the general election Lean Democratic. Trader consensus implies 84.5% odds for a Democratic Party winner, betting on a top Democrat like well-funded Brandon Riker or Marni von Wilpert advancing to leverage the district's partisan tilt in November, though a GOP top-two sweep remains a key risk ahead of the primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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