Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the coastal Orange County seat toward stronger Democratic performance, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by 10 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean and Min's incumbency after his 2024 victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic outcome aligns with these fundamentals and limited Republican fundraising among declared challengers. A major national swing against Democrats, unusually low turnout, or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent could still narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts unlikely without significant developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$811 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$3,119 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the coastal Orange County seat toward stronger Democratic performance, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by 10 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean and Min's incumbency after his 2024 victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic outcome aligns with these fundamentals and limited Republican fundraising among declared challengers. A major national swing against Democrats, unusually low turnout, or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent could still narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts unlikely without significant developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,930วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the coastal Orange County seat toward stronger Democratic performance, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by 10 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean and Min's incumbency after his 2024 victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic outcome aligns with these fundamentals and limited Republican fundraising among declared challengers. A major national swing against Democrats, unusually low turnout, or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent could still narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts unlikely without significant developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,930วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the coastal Orange County seat toward stronger Democratic performance, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by 10 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean and Min's incumbency after his 2024 victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic outcome aligns with these fundamentals and limited Republican fundraising among declared challengers. A major national swing against Democrats, unusually low turnout, or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent could still narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts unlikely without significant developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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