Washington's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and a 59% Trump margin in 2024, even as retiring incumbent Dan Newhouse leaves the race open. Recent candidate filings through the May 8 deadline produced a crowded GOP primary featuring well-funded contenders such as Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, state Sen. Matt Boehnke, and Jerrod Sessler, while Democratic candidate John Duresky trails significantly in fundraising. An April GOP debate and an early February poll showing the Democrat at 25% with many undecided voters have reinforced trader expectations that a Republican will advance from the August 4 top-two primary and hold the general-election advantage in November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-04 House Election Winner
WA-04 House Election Winner
$26,839 ปริมาณ
$26,839 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
20%
$26,839 ปริมาณ
$26,839 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$13,712 ปริมาณ
81%
Democratic Party
$13,127 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and a 59% Trump margin in 2024, even as retiring incumbent Dan Newhouse leaves the race open. Recent candidate filings through the May 8 deadline produced a crowded GOP primary featuring well-funded contenders such as Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, state Sen. Matt Boehnke, and Jerrod Sessler, while Democratic candidate John Duresky trails significantly in fundraising. An April GOP debate and an early February poll showing the Democrat at 25% with many undecided voters have reinforced trader expectations that a Republican will advance from the August 4 top-two primary and hold the general-election advantage in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,839วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and a 59% Trump margin in 2024, even as retiring incumbent Dan Newhouse leaves the race open. Recent candidate filings through the May 8 deadline produced a crowded GOP primary featuring well-funded contenders such as Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, state Sen. Matt Boehnke, and Jerrod Sessler, while Democratic candidate John Duresky trails significantly in fundraising. An April GOP debate and an early February poll showing the Democrat at 25% with many undecided voters have reinforced trader expectations that a Republican will advance from the August 4 top-two primary and hold the general-election advantage in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,839วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and a 59% Trump margin in 2024, even as retiring incumbent Dan Newhouse leaves the race open. Recent candidate filings through the May 8 deadline produced a crowded GOP primary featuring well-funded contenders such as Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, state Sen. Matt Boehnke, and Jerrod Sessler, while Democratic candidate John Duresky trails significantly in fundraising. An April GOP debate and an early February poll showing the Democrat at 25% with many undecided voters have reinforced trader expectations that a Republican will advance from the August 4 top-two primary and hold the general-election advantage in November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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