Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's commanding position in the D+6 Massachusetts 9th congressional district, bolstered by consistent general election margins exceeding 15 points in 2020, 2022, and 2024, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party win on November 3, 2026. Keating dominates Democratic primary fundraising with over $517,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing challenger Craig Swallow's $12,000, while Republican Tyler Macallister holds $55,000 ahead of the September 1 primaries. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, reflecting the district's solid Democratic lean despite its relative competitiveness within Massachusetts. Late-breaking scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, health issue, or national GOP wave could challenge this outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMA-09 House Election Winner
MA-09 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,241 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$1,357 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's commanding position in the D+6 Massachusetts 9th congressional district, bolstered by consistent general election margins exceeding 15 points in 2020, 2022, and 2024, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party win on November 3, 2026. Keating dominates Democratic primary fundraising with over $517,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing challenger Craig Swallow's $12,000, while Republican Tyler Macallister holds $55,000 ahead of the September 1 primaries. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, reflecting the district's solid Democratic lean despite its relative competitiveness within Massachusetts. Late-breaking scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, health issue, or national GOP wave could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,598วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's commanding position in the D+6 Massachusetts 9th congressional district, bolstered by consistent general election margins exceeding 15 points in 2020, 2022, and 2024, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party win on November 3, 2026. Keating dominates Democratic primary fundraising with over $517,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing challenger Craig Swallow's $12,000, while Republican Tyler Macallister holds $55,000 ahead of the September 1 primaries. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, reflecting the district's solid Democratic lean despite its relative competitiveness within Massachusetts. Late-breaking scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, health issue, or national GOP wave could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,598วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's commanding position in the D+6 Massachusetts 9th congressional district, bolstered by consistent general election margins exceeding 15 points in 2020, 2022, and 2024, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party win on November 3, 2026. Keating dominates Democratic primary fundraising with over $517,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing challenger Craig Swallow's $12,000, while Republican Tyler Macallister holds $55,000 ahead of the September 1 primaries. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, reflecting the district's solid Democratic lean despite its relative competitiveness within Massachusetts. Late-breaking scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, health issue, or national GOP wave could challenge this outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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