Florida's 25th Congressional District underwent mid-decade redistricting in late April 2026, shifting it to a Trump +9 seat per 2024 results and prompting GOP hopes of a flip from Democratic control. However, a Middle Seat poll conducted May 5-6 revealed a strong Democratic generic ballot edge of 51%-39% (D+12), with hypothetical general election matchups favoring Democrat Oliver Larkin over Republicans Scott Singer (45%-33%) and George Moraitis (43%-34%). Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz has not committed to the primary—amid speculation of a bid in redrawn FL-20—while Rep. Jared Moskowitz eyes the race, heightening Democratic primary uncertainty ahead of the August 18 contest. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 63.5%, reflecting polling overperformance and the district's Broward County base despite the map.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-25 House Election Winner
FL-25 House Election Winner
$18,060 ปริมาณ
$18,060 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
63%
Republican Party
34%
$18,060 ปริมาณ
$18,060 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,507 ปริมาณ
63%
Republican Party
$13,553 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 25th Congressional District underwent mid-decade redistricting in late April 2026, shifting it to a Trump +9 seat per 2024 results and prompting GOP hopes of a flip from Democratic control. However, a Middle Seat poll conducted May 5-6 revealed a strong Democratic generic ballot edge of 51%-39% (D+12), with hypothetical general election matchups favoring Democrat Oliver Larkin over Republicans Scott Singer (45%-33%) and George Moraitis (43%-34%). Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz has not committed to the primary—amid speculation of a bid in redrawn FL-20—while Rep. Jared Moskowitz eyes the race, heightening Democratic primary uncertainty ahead of the August 18 contest. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 63.5%, reflecting polling overperformance and the district's Broward County base despite the map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,060วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 25th Congressional District underwent mid-decade redistricting in late April 2026, shifting it to a Trump +9 seat per 2024 results and prompting GOP hopes of a flip from Democratic control. However, a Middle Seat poll conducted May 5-6 revealed a strong Democratic generic ballot edge of 51%-39% (D+12), with hypothetical general election matchups favoring Democrat Oliver Larkin over Republicans Scott Singer (45%-33%) and George Moraitis (43%-34%). Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz has not committed to the primary—amid speculation of a bid in redrawn FL-20—while Rep. Jared Moskowitz eyes the race, heightening Democratic primary uncertainty ahead of the August 18 contest. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 63.5%, reflecting polling overperformance and the district's Broward County base despite the map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,060วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 25th Congressional District underwent mid-decade redistricting in late April 2026, shifting it to a Trump +9 seat per 2024 results and prompting GOP hopes of a flip from Democratic control. However, a Middle Seat poll conducted May 5-6 revealed a strong Democratic generic ballot edge of 51%-39% (D+12), with hypothetical general election matchups favoring Democrat Oliver Larkin over Republicans Scott Singer (45%-33%) and George Moraitis (43%-34%). Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz has not committed to the primary—amid speculation of a bid in redrawn FL-20—while Rep. Jared Moskowitz eyes the race, heightening Democratic primary uncertainty ahead of the August 18 contest. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 63.5%, reflecting polling overperformance and the district's Broward County base despite the map.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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