Incumbent Republican Bob Onder's bid for re-election in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP victory, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchored by its R+13 partisan voter index and Onder's 2024 general election win with 61% amid low Democratic turnout. Recent candidate filings in late February and March 2026 set a crowded Democratic primary featuring Bethany Mann, who lost previously, Paul Wilson, and Tommy Holstein against Onder and challenger John Fraser on the GOP side, with primaries scheduled for August 4. While no new polls have emerged, the field's dynamics reinforce incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe districts; rare shifts could stem from a primary upset, Onder scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$62 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bob Onder's bid for re-election in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP victory, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchored by its R+13 partisan voter index and Onder's 2024 general election win with 61% amid low Democratic turnout. Recent candidate filings in late February and March 2026 set a crowded Democratic primary featuring Bethany Mann, who lost previously, Paul Wilson, and Tommy Holstein against Onder and challenger John Fraser on the GOP side, with primaries scheduled for August 4. While no new polls have emerged, the field's dynamics reinforce incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe districts; rare shifts could stem from a primary upset, Onder scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bob Onder's bid for re-election in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP victory, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchored by its R+13 partisan voter index and Onder's 2024 general election win with 61% amid low Democratic turnout. Recent candidate filings in late February and March 2026 set a crowded Democratic primary featuring Bethany Mann, who lost previously, Paul Wilson, and Tommy Holstein against Onder and challenger John Fraser on the GOP side, with primaries scheduled for August 4. While no new polls have emerged, the field's dynamics reinforce incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe districts; rare shifts could stem from a primary upset, Onder scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bob Onder's bid for re-election in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP victory, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchored by its R+13 partisan voter index and Onder's 2024 general election win with 61% amid low Democratic turnout. Recent candidate filings in late February and March 2026 set a crowded Democratic primary featuring Bethany Mann, who lost previously, Paul Wilson, and Tommy Holstein against Onder and challenger John Fraser on the GOP side, with primaries scheduled for August 4. While no new polls have emerged, the field's dynamics reinforce incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe districts; rare shifts could stem from a primary upset, Onder scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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