Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mark Alford, who secured reelection in 2024 with over 71 percent of the vote, benefits from early fundraising advantages exceeding $1 million and limited opposition after candidate filing closed in March. All major forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. A Democratic primary featuring low-profile entrants with minimal resources further reinforces the current trader consensus. An upset would require either a major scandal involving the incumbent, an unexpected Republican primary challenge, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave to shift the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-04 House Election Winner
MO-04 House Election Winner
$30,403 ปริมาณ
$30,403 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$30,403 ปริมาณ
$30,403 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,483 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$13,920 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mark Alford, who secured reelection in 2024 with over 71 percent of the vote, benefits from early fundraising advantages exceeding $1 million and limited opposition after candidate filing closed in March. All major forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. A Democratic primary featuring low-profile entrants with minimal resources further reinforces the current trader consensus. An upset would require either a major scandal involving the incumbent, an unexpected Republican primary challenge, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,403วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mark Alford, who secured reelection in 2024 with over 71 percent of the vote, benefits from early fundraising advantages exceeding $1 million and limited opposition after candidate filing closed in March. All major forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. A Democratic primary featuring low-profile entrants with minimal resources further reinforces the current trader consensus. An upset would require either a major scandal involving the incumbent, an unexpected Republican primary challenge, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,403วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mark Alford, who secured reelection in 2024 with over 71 percent of the vote, benefits from early fundraising advantages exceeding $1 million and limited opposition after candidate filing closed in March. All major forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. A Democratic primary featuring low-profile entrants with minimal resources further reinforces the current trader consensus. An upset would require either a major scandal involving the incumbent, an unexpected Republican primary challenge, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave to shift the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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