Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show a tight four-way contest, with Die Linke often leading at 22 percent followed closely by the CDU and AfD at 18 percent each and the Grünen at 16 percent. This positioning creates uncertainty over third place, as small swings in voter preference among these parties can shift rankings. Recent surveys from Forsa and Infratest dimap highlight volatility tied to candidate changes, coalition dissatisfaction, and turnout patterns in key districts. Traders price AfD, Grünen, and CDU as the likeliest contenders for third because their support levels cluster near one another, while lower-polling parties like the SPD face steeper barriers. Upcoming final-week campaigning and any late shifts in economic or security sentiment could widen or narrow these margins before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAfD 35%
Grüne 29%
CDU 25%
Linke 10%
$22,608 ปริมาณ
$22,608 ปริมาณ

AfD
35%

Grüne
29%

CDU
25%

Linke
10%

SPD
8%

FDP
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
AfD 35%
Grüne 29%
CDU 25%
Linke 10%
$22,608 ปริมาณ
$22,608 ปริมาณ

AfD
35%

Grüne
29%

CDU
25%

Linke
10%

SPD
8%

FDP
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show a tight four-way contest, with Die Linke often leading at 22 percent followed closely by the CDU and AfD at 18 percent each and the Grünen at 16 percent. This positioning creates uncertainty over third place, as small swings in voter preference among these parties can shift rankings. Recent surveys from Forsa and Infratest dimap highlight volatility tied to candidate changes, coalition dissatisfaction, and turnout patterns in key districts. Traders price AfD, Grünen, and CDU as the likeliest contenders for third because their support levels cluster near one another, while lower-polling parties like the SPD face steeper barriers. Upcoming final-week campaigning and any late shifts in economic or security sentiment could widen or narrow these margins before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย