Recent polling shows Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties, creating a fluid contest for third place ahead of the September 20 vote. The CDU’s late-July leadership change after internal criticism of its prior candidate has kept that party’s positioning unsettled, while AfD support has edged higher amid broader national trends. Grüne backing remains steady but faces pressure from turnout and preference flows among left-leaning voters. These narrow margins and limited remaining campaign time sustain the market’s close pricing across the leading contenders, with any late polling shifts or turnout surprises among key voter blocs likely to reorder the probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAfD 34%
Grüne 29%
CDU 24%
Linke 11%
$22,608 ปริมาณ
$22,608 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
34%
Grüne
29%
CDU
24%
Linke
11%
SPD
9%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 34%
Grüne 29%
CDU 24%
Linke 11%
$22,608 ปริมาณ
$22,608 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$5,435 ปริมาณ
34%
Grüne
$3,681 ปริมาณ
29%
CDU
$5,639 ปริมาณ
24%
Linke
$4,578 ปริมาณ
11%
SPD
$1,268 ปริมาณ
9%
FDP
$674 ปริมาณ
<1%
FW
$582 ปริมาณ
<1%
BSW
$750 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling shows Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties, creating a fluid contest for third place ahead of the September 20 vote. The CDU’s late-July leadership change after internal criticism of its prior candidate has kept that party’s positioning unsettled, while AfD support has edged higher amid broader national trends. Grüne backing remains steady but faces pressure from turnout and preference flows among left-leaning voters. These narrow margins and limited remaining campaign time sustain the market’s close pricing across the leading contenders, with any late polling shifts or turnout surprises among key voter blocs likely to reorder the probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,608วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling shows Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties, creating a fluid contest for third place ahead of the September 20 vote. The CDU’s late-July leadership change after internal criticism of its prior candidate has kept that party’s positioning unsettled, while AfD support has edged higher amid broader national trends. Grüne backing remains steady but faces pressure from turnout and preference flows among left-leaning voters. These narrow margins and limited remaining campaign time sustain the market’s close pricing across the leading contenders, with any late polling shifts or turnout surprises among key voter blocs likely to reorder the probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,608วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties, creating a fluid contest for third place ahead of the September 20 vote. The CDU’s late-July leadership change after internal criticism of its prior candidate has kept that party’s positioning unsettled, while AfD support has edged higher amid broader national trends. Grüne backing remains steady but faces pressure from turnout and preference flows among left-leaning voters. These narrow margins and limited remaining campaign time sustain the market’s close pricing across the leading contenders, with any late polling shifts or turnout surprises among key voter blocs likely to reorder the probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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