Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota's strong reelection prospects in New York's 1st Congressional District underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 47.5% implied probability over Democrats at 21%, reflecting the R+4 partisan lean, LaLota's unopposed June 23 primary, and his $3 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March versus fragmented Democratic contenders like Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras. The district backed Trump 54%-44% in 2024, aligning with LaLota's prior 55% victories. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since the April 6 filing deadline, leaving odds stable amid an uncertain midterm environment and upcoming Democratic primary that could produce a weaker nominee.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$20,232 ปริมาณ
$20,232 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
45%
Democratic Party
24%
$20,232 ปริมาณ
$20,232 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,326 ปริมาณ
45%
Democratic Party
$13,906 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota's strong reelection prospects in New York's 1st Congressional District underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 47.5% implied probability over Democrats at 21%, reflecting the R+4 partisan lean, LaLota's unopposed June 23 primary, and his $3 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March versus fragmented Democratic contenders like Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras. The district backed Trump 54%-44% in 2024, aligning with LaLota's prior 55% victories. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since the April 6 filing deadline, leaving odds stable amid an uncertain midterm environment and upcoming Democratic primary that could produce a weaker nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,232วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota's strong reelection prospects in New York's 1st Congressional District underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 47.5% implied probability over Democrats at 21%, reflecting the R+4 partisan lean, LaLota's unopposed June 23 primary, and his $3 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March versus fragmented Democratic contenders like Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras. The district backed Trump 54%-44% in 2024, aligning with LaLota's prior 55% victories. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since the April 6 filing deadline, leaving odds stable amid an uncertain midterm environment and upcoming Democratic primary that could produce a weaker nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,232วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota's strong reelection prospects in New York's 1st Congressional District underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 47.5% implied probability over Democrats at 21%, reflecting the R+4 partisan lean, LaLota's unopposed June 23 primary, and his $3 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March versus fragmented Democratic contenders like Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras. The district backed Trump 54%-44% in 2024, aligning with LaLota's prior 55% victories. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since the April 6 filing deadline, leaving odds stable amid an uncertain midterm environment and upcoming Democratic primary that could produce a weaker nominee.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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