Incumbent Democrat Gil Cisneros advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Eric Ching in California's 31st congressional district, a San Gabriel Valley seat with a Democratic lean reflected in its D+10 Cook PVI and consistent strong performance in recent statewide races. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration edge and Cisneros's primary margin exceeding 60 percent. Traders price Democratic victory near 94.5 percent due to this structural advantage, incumbency, and limited Republican resources in a low-turnout midterm environment. A realistic shift would require a major candidate-specific event such as a late scandal, health development, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout that overrides the district's baseline partisan composition.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-31 House Election Winner
CA-31 House Election Winner
$15,927 ปริมาณ
$15,927 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$15,927 ปริมาณ
$15,927 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,679 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$8,248 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gil Cisneros advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Eric Ching in California's 31st congressional district, a San Gabriel Valley seat with a Democratic lean reflected in its D+10 Cook PVI and consistent strong performance in recent statewide races. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration edge and Cisneros's primary margin exceeding 60 percent. Traders price Democratic victory near 94.5 percent due to this structural advantage, incumbency, and limited Republican resources in a low-turnout midterm environment. A realistic shift would require a major candidate-specific event such as a late scandal, health development, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout that overrides the district's baseline partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,927วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gil Cisneros advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Eric Ching in California's 31st congressional district, a San Gabriel Valley seat with a Democratic lean reflected in its D+10 Cook PVI and consistent strong performance in recent statewide races. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration edge and Cisneros's primary margin exceeding 60 percent. Traders price Democratic victory near 94.5 percent due to this structural advantage, incumbency, and limited Republican resources in a low-turnout midterm environment. A realistic shift would require a major candidate-specific event such as a late scandal, health development, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout that overrides the district's baseline partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,927วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gil Cisneros advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Eric Ching in California's 31st congressional district, a San Gabriel Valley seat with a Democratic lean reflected in its D+10 Cook PVI and consistent strong performance in recent statewide races. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration edge and Cisneros's primary margin exceeding 60 percent. Traders price Democratic victory near 94.5 percent due to this structural advantage, incumbency, and limited Republican resources in a low-turnout midterm environment. A realistic shift would require a major candidate-specific event such as a late scandal, health development, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout that overrides the district's baseline partisan composition.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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