Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, pits Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 3, 2026 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong endorsements from Ernst and President Trump, plus a fundraising advantage exceeding $6.7 million by late June, while Turek won his primary after highlighting his background as a Paralympic athlete and focus on economic issues. Recent polling from July and August shows a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2-3 points in most surveys amid Iowa's Republican tilt. This positioning aligns with the state's electoral history and current polling averages, where trader consensus reflects structural GOP advantages offset by Democratic enthusiasm for Turek in a race rated lean Republican by several forecasters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$176,144 ปริมาณ
$176,144 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
57%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$176,144 ปริมาณ
$176,144 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$86,983 ปริมาณ
57%
Josh Turek (D)
$89,161 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, pits Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 3, 2026 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong endorsements from Ernst and President Trump, plus a fundraising advantage exceeding $6.7 million by late June, while Turek won his primary after highlighting his background as a Paralympic athlete and focus on economic issues. Recent polling from July and August shows a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2-3 points in most surveys amid Iowa's Republican tilt. This positioning aligns with the state's electoral history and current polling averages, where trader consensus reflects structural GOP advantages offset by Democratic enthusiasm for Turek in a race rated lean Republican by several forecasters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$176,144วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, pits Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 3, 2026 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong endorsements from Ernst and President Trump, plus a fundraising advantage exceeding $6.7 million by late June, while Turek won his primary after highlighting his background as a Paralympic athlete and focus on economic issues. Recent polling from July and August shows a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2-3 points in most surveys amid Iowa's Republican tilt. This positioning aligns with the state's electoral history and current polling averages, where trader consensus reflects structural GOP advantages offset by Democratic enthusiasm for Turek in a race rated lean Republican by several forecasters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$176,144วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, pits Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 3, 2026 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong endorsements from Ernst and President Trump, plus a fundraising advantage exceeding $6.7 million by late June, while Turek won his primary after highlighting his background as a Paralympic athlete and focus on economic issues. Recent polling from July and August shows a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2-3 points in most surveys amid Iowa's Republican tilt. This positioning aligns with the state's electoral history and current polling averages, where trader consensus reflects structural GOP advantages offset by Democratic enthusiasm for Turek in a race rated lean Republican by several forecasters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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