Incumbent Sen. Joni Ernst's retirement has opened Iowa's Class II Senate seat, positioning Rep. Ashley Hinson as the Republican primary frontrunner against former state Sen. Jim Carlin ahead of the June 2 primaries, while Democrats State Rep. Josh Turek and State Sen. Zach Wahls compete closely—Wahls leading 56-38% in a March Bedrock poll. Trader consensus at 60.5% for a Republican winner reflects Iowa's deep-red partisan lean, Trump-won battleground status, and historical GOP dominance despite an early April Echelon survey showing Turek (46%) and Wahls (46%) edging Hinson within the 6% margin of error. Pete Buttigieg's May 13 endorsement of Turek offers Democrats a late primary boost, but traders price in superior GOP turnout and rural strength for November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$115,545 ปริมาณ
$115,545 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
61%
Democrat
41%
$115,545 ปริมาณ
$115,545 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$52,733 ปริมาณ
61%
Democrat
$62,812 ปริมาณ
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Joni Ernst's retirement has opened Iowa's Class II Senate seat, positioning Rep. Ashley Hinson as the Republican primary frontrunner against former state Sen. Jim Carlin ahead of the June 2 primaries, while Democrats State Rep. Josh Turek and State Sen. Zach Wahls compete closely—Wahls leading 56-38% in a March Bedrock poll. Trader consensus at 60.5% for a Republican winner reflects Iowa's deep-red partisan lean, Trump-won battleground status, and historical GOP dominance despite an early April Echelon survey showing Turek (46%) and Wahls (46%) edging Hinson within the 6% margin of error. Pete Buttigieg's May 13 endorsement of Turek offers Democrats a late primary boost, but traders price in superior GOP turnout and rural strength for November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$115,545วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Joni Ernst's retirement has opened Iowa's Class II Senate seat, positioning Rep. Ashley Hinson as the Republican primary frontrunner against former state Sen. Jim Carlin ahead of the June 2 primaries, while Democrats State Rep. Josh Turek and State Sen. Zach Wahls compete closely—Wahls leading 56-38% in a March Bedrock poll. Trader consensus at 60.5% for a Republican winner reflects Iowa's deep-red partisan lean, Trump-won battleground status, and historical GOP dominance despite an early April Echelon survey showing Turek (46%) and Wahls (46%) edging Hinson within the 6% margin of error. Pete Buttigieg's May 13 endorsement of Turek offers Democrats a late primary boost, but traders price in superior GOP turnout and rural strength for November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$115,545วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Joni Ernst's retirement has opened Iowa's Class II Senate seat, positioning Rep. Ashley Hinson as the Republican primary frontrunner against former state Sen. Jim Carlin ahead of the June 2 primaries, while Democrats State Rep. Josh Turek and State Sen. Zach Wahls compete closely—Wahls leading 56-38% in a March Bedrock poll. Trader consensus at 60.5% for a Republican winner reflects Iowa's deep-red partisan lean, Trump-won battleground status, and historical GOP dominance despite an early April Echelon survey showing Turek (46%) and Wahls (46%) edging Hinson within the 6% margin of error. Pete Buttigieg's May 13 endorsement of Turek offers Democrats a late primary boost, but traders price in superior GOP turnout and rural strength for November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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