Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage in federal contests, reinforced by the state's consistent partisan voting patterns and lack of Democratic statewide wins since 1974, anchors the strong consensus for a Republican Senate winner. Incumbent Jim Risch, seeking a fourth term with primary opposition from several challengers ahead of the May 19 vote, benefits from high name recognition and prior general-election margins exceeding 60 percent. Limited Democratic field strength and no recent polling shifts toward competitive margins further solidify positioning. While an unforeseen primary disruption or late general-election development could theoretically alter dynamics, the state's electoral math and historical base rates leave few realistic pathways for a Democratic upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
$15,389 ปริมาณ
$15,389 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
91%
Democrat
8%
$15,389 ปริมาณ
$15,389 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$10,646 ปริมาณ
91%
Democrat
$4,743 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage in federal contests, reinforced by the state's consistent partisan voting patterns and lack of Democratic statewide wins since 1974, anchors the strong consensus for a Republican Senate winner. Incumbent Jim Risch, seeking a fourth term with primary opposition from several challengers ahead of the May 19 vote, benefits from high name recognition and prior general-election margins exceeding 60 percent. Limited Democratic field strength and no recent polling shifts toward competitive margins further solidify positioning. While an unforeseen primary disruption or late general-election development could theoretically alter dynamics, the state's electoral math and historical base rates leave few realistic pathways for a Democratic upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,389วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage in federal contests, reinforced by the state's consistent partisan voting patterns and lack of Democratic statewide wins since 1974, anchors the strong consensus for a Republican Senate winner. Incumbent Jim Risch, seeking a fourth term with primary opposition from several challengers ahead of the May 19 vote, benefits from high name recognition and prior general-election margins exceeding 60 percent. Limited Democratic field strength and no recent polling shifts toward competitive margins further solidify positioning. While an unforeseen primary disruption or late general-election development could theoretically alter dynamics, the state's electoral math and historical base rates leave few realistic pathways for a Democratic upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,389วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage in federal contests, reinforced by the state's consistent partisan voting patterns and lack of Democratic statewide wins since 1974, anchors the strong consensus for a Republican Senate winner. Incumbent Jim Risch, seeking a fourth term with primary opposition from several challengers ahead of the May 19 vote, benefits from high name recognition and prior general-election margins exceeding 60 percent. Limited Democratic field strength and no recent polling shifts toward competitive margins further solidify positioning. While an unforeseen primary disruption or late general-election development could theoretically alter dynamics, the state's electoral math and historical base rates leave few realistic pathways for a Democratic upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย