Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide elections, combined with incumbent Jim Risch's primary victory and long tenure since 2009, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican Senate winner. Risch secured nomination with roughly two-thirds of GOP primary votes in May 2026 against limited challengers, while Democrat David Roth, the 2022 nominee, advanced on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent Senate contests and absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Scenarios that could narrow this edge include a late personal or ethical development involving the incumbent, a sharp national political realignment affecting turnout, or an unusually strong independent or third-party performance, though historical patterns show limited precedent for such shifts in this electorate.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
$18,827 ปริมาณ
$18,827 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
6%
$18,827 ปริมาณ
$18,827 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$12,529 ปริมาณ
95%
Democrat
$6,299 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide elections, combined with incumbent Jim Risch's primary victory and long tenure since 2009, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican Senate winner. Risch secured nomination with roughly two-thirds of GOP primary votes in May 2026 against limited challengers, while Democrat David Roth, the 2022 nominee, advanced on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent Senate contests and absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Scenarios that could narrow this edge include a late personal or ethical development involving the incumbent, a sharp national political realignment affecting turnout, or an unusually strong independent or third-party performance, though historical patterns show limited precedent for such shifts in this electorate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,827วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide elections, combined with incumbent Jim Risch's primary victory and long tenure since 2009, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican Senate winner. Risch secured nomination with roughly two-thirds of GOP primary votes in May 2026 against limited challengers, while Democrat David Roth, the 2022 nominee, advanced on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent Senate contests and absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Scenarios that could narrow this edge include a late personal or ethical development involving the incumbent, a sharp national political realignment affecting turnout, or an unusually strong independent or third-party performance, though historical patterns show limited precedent for such shifts in this electorate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,827วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide elections, combined with incumbent Jim Risch's primary victory and long tenure since 2009, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican Senate winner. Risch secured nomination with roughly two-thirds of GOP primary votes in May 2026 against limited challengers, while Democrat David Roth, the 2022 nominee, advanced on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent Senate contests and absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Scenarios that could narrow this edge include a late personal or ethical development involving the incumbent, a sharp national political realignment affecting turnout, or an unusually strong independent or third-party performance, though historical patterns show limited precedent for such shifts in this electorate.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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