A U.S. Supreme Court ruling on April 29, 2026, in Louisiana v. Callais, which limited Voting Rights Act challenges to racial gerrymanders, has spurred mid-decade congressional redistricting in multiple states ahead of the 2026 midterms, driving trader consensus toward high probabilities for new maps in enacted states like California (97%), North Carolina (97%), and Texas (96%). Recent developments include Florida's governor signing a new map on May 4, Tennessee enacting one on May 7 after a special session, Missouri's Supreme Court upholding its map, and Alabama's federal injunction lifted on May 11 enabling a prior alternative. Virginia's voter-approved plan was blocked by its state Supreme Court on May 8 for procedural issues, reflected in low 14% odds. Ongoing litigation in Louisiana (primaries delayed) and South Carolina (special session May 14) keeps those above 75%, with candidate filing deadlines and appeals as key upcoming catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$254,897 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
California
97%
Texas
95%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
94%
Utah
87%
Florida
64%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
15%
Alabama
83%
South Carolina
77%
Georgia
12%
Kansas
8%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
8%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
13%
Wisconsin
19%
$254,897 ปริมาณ
California
$12,000 ปริมาณ
97%
Texas
$3,503 ปริมาณ
95%
North Carolina
$8,686 ปริมาณ
98%
Ohio
$5,770 ปริมาณ
94%
Utah
$59,277 ปริมาณ
87%
Florida
$1,177 ปริมาณ
64%
Louisiana
$15,525 ปริมาณ
93%
Missouri
$3,904 ปริมาณ
86%
Virginia
$6,355 ปริมาณ
15%
Alabama
$14,726 ปริมาณ
83%
South Carolina
$21,635 ปริมาณ
77%
Georgia
$1,945 ปริมาณ
12%
Kansas
$5,162 ปริมาณ
8%
New Jersey
$5,044 ปริมาณ
6%
Indiana
$28,282 ปริมาณ
6%
Washington
$5,135 ปริมาณ
8%
Nebraska
$6,500 ปริมาณ
6%
Illinois
$9,819 ปริมาณ
3%
Minnesota
$9,398 ปริมาณ
3%
New York
$8,026 ปริมาณ
13%
Maryland
$7,815 ปริมาณ
13%
Wisconsin
$15,213 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.A U.S. Supreme Court ruling on April 29, 2026, in Louisiana v. Callais, which limited Voting Rights Act challenges to racial gerrymanders, has spurred mid-decade congressional redistricting in multiple states ahead of the 2026 midterms, driving trader consensus toward high probabilities for new maps in enacted states like California (97%), North Carolina (97%), and Texas (96%). Recent developments include Florida's governor signing a new map on May 4, Tennessee enacting one on May 7 after a special session, Missouri's Supreme Court upholding its map, and Alabama's federal injunction lifted on May 11 enabling a prior alternative. Virginia's voter-approved plan was blocked by its state Supreme Court on May 8 for procedural issues, reflected in low 14% odds. Ongoing litigation in Louisiana (primaries delayed) and South Carolina (special session May 14) keeps those above 75%, with candidate filing deadlines and appeals as key upcoming catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$254,897วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.A U.S. Supreme Court ruling on April 29, 2026, in Louisiana v. Callais, which limited Voting Rights Act challenges to racial gerrymanders, has spurred mid-decade congressional redistricting in multiple states ahead of the 2026 midterms, driving trader consensus toward high probabilities for new maps in enacted states like California (97%), North Carolina (97%), and Texas (96%). Recent developments include Florida's governor signing a new map on May 4, Tennessee enacting one on May 7 after a special session, Missouri's Supreme Court upholding its map, and Alabama's federal injunction lifted on May 11 enabling a prior alternative. Virginia's voter-approved plan was blocked by its state Supreme Court on May 8 for procedural issues, reflected in low 14% odds. Ongoing litigation in Louisiana (primaries delayed) and South Carolina (special session May 14) keeps those above 75%, with candidate filing deadlines and appeals as key upcoming catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$254,897วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A U.S. Supreme Court ruling on April 29, 2026, in Louisiana v. Callais, which limited Voting Rights Act challenges to racial gerrymanders, has spurred mid-decade congressional redistricting in multiple states ahead of the 2026 midterms, driving trader consensus toward high probabilities for new maps in enacted states like California (97%), North Carolina (97%), and Texas (96%). Recent developments include Florida's governor signing a new map on May 4, Tennessee enacting one on May 7 after a special session, Missouri's Supreme Court upholding its map, and Alabama's federal injunction lifted on May 11 enabling a prior alternative. Virginia's voter-approved plan was blocked by its state Supreme Court on May 8 for procedural issues, reflected in low 14% odds. Ongoing litigation in Louisiana (primaries delayed) and South Carolina (special session May 14) keeps those above 75%, with candidate filing deadlines and appeals as key upcoming catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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