**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms following the Supreme Court’s May 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision, which altered standards for evaluating race in districting and enabled several states to enact or revert to new maps.** Partisan legislatures in Republican-led states such as Texas, Florida, North Carolina, and Tennessee moved first, often at the urging of President Trump to maximize GOP House seats, while California and a few others pursued Democratic-leaning adjustments. As of mid-August 2026, ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have new maps in effect according to state filings and trackers, with special primaries already held or scheduled in some. Virginia’s Democratic-backed changes were struck down by the state Supreme Court in May, returning it to prior lines. Ongoing litigation in a handful of additional states, including potential challenges under the new Callais framework, continues to shape which maps will govern November voting. Trader probabilities track confirmed legislative passage, court survival, and primary timing rather than long-term demographic shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$395,140 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
California
97%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
$395,140 ปริมาณ
California
$17,232 ปริมาณ
97%
Texas
$19,793 ปริมาณ
98%
North Carolina
$11,909 ปริมาณ
96%
Ohio
$7,385 ปริมาณ
95%
Utah
$93,640 ปริมาณ
91%
Florida
$7,123 ปริมาณ
98%
Louisiana
$16,019 ปริมาณ
93%
Missouri
$5,494 ปริมาณ
93%
Virginia
$9,947 ปริมาณ
5%
Alabama
$16,806 ปริมาณ
91%
South Carolina
$28,897 ปริมาณ
<1%
Georgia
$8,469 ปริมาณ
6%
Kansas
$7,979 ปริมาณ
<1%
New Jersey
$6,034 ปริมาณ
4%
Indiana
$34,456 ปริมาณ
5%
Washington
$10,099 ปริมาณ
3%
Nebraska
$7,515 ปริมาณ
5%
Illinois
$11,855 ปริมาณ
2%
Minnesota
$15,865 ปริมาณ
5%
New York
$19,708 ปริมาณ
4%
Maryland
$16,339 ปริมาณ
4%
Wisconsin
$22,576 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms following the Supreme Court’s May 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision, which altered standards for evaluating race in districting and enabled several states to enact or revert to new maps.**
Partisan legislatures in Republican-led states such as Texas, Florida, North Carolina, and Tennessee moved first, often at the urging of President Trump to maximize GOP House seats, while California and a few others pursued Democratic-leaning adjustments. As of mid-August 2026, ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have new maps in effect according to state filings and trackers, with special primaries already held or scheduled in some. Virginia’s Democratic-backed changes were struck down by the state Supreme Court in May, returning it to prior lines. Ongoing litigation in a handful of additional states, including potential challenges under the new Callais framework, continues to shape which maps will govern November voting. Trader probabilities track confirmed legislative passage, court survival, and primary timing rather than long-term demographic shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$395,140วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms following the Supreme Court’s May 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision, which altered standards for evaluating race in districting and enabled several states to enact or revert to new maps.**
Partisan legislatures in Republican-led states such as Texas, Florida, North Carolina, and Tennessee moved first, often at the urging of President Trump to maximize GOP House seats, while California and a few others pursued Democratic-leaning adjustments. As of mid-August 2026, ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have new maps in effect according to state filings and trackers, with special primaries already held or scheduled in some. Virginia’s Democratic-backed changes were struck down by the state Supreme Court in May, returning it to prior lines. Ongoing litigation in a handful of additional states, including potential challenges under the new Callais framework, continues to shape which maps will govern November voting. Trader probabilities track confirmed legislative passage, court survival, and primary timing rather than long-term demographic shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$395,140วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms following the Supreme Court’s May 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision, which altered standards for evaluating race in districting and enabled several states to enact or revert to new maps.** Partisan legislatures in Republican-led states such as Texas, Florida, North Carolina, and Tennessee moved first, often at the urging of President Trump to maximize GOP House seats, while California and a few others pursued Democratic-leaning adjustments. As of mid-August 2026, ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have new maps in effect according to state filings and trackers, with special primaries already held or scheduled in some. Virginia’s Democratic-backed changes were struck down by the state Supreme Court in May, returning it to prior lines. Ongoing litigation in a handful of additional states, including potential challenges under the new Callais framework, continues to shape which maps will govern November voting. Trader probabilities track confirmed legislative passage, court survival, and primary timing rather than long-term demographic shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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