California's 11th congressional district, encompassing most of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in a Cook PVI of D+36 and voter registration favoring Democrats by roughly 56 points. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Scott Wiener and Connie Chan to the November general election, while Republican contenders combined for under 6 percent of the vote. This structural alignment, consistent with the district's 81-point Democratic margin in 2024, drives the market's 98.2 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. A Republican victory would require unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate viability that have no recent precedent in the district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
$21,763 ปริมาณ
$21,763 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
3%
$21,763 ปริมาณ
$21,763 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,980 ปริมาณ
98%
Republican Party
$6,783 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district, encompassing most of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in a Cook PVI of D+36 and voter registration favoring Democrats by roughly 56 points. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Scott Wiener and Connie Chan to the November general election, while Republican contenders combined for under 6 percent of the vote. This structural alignment, consistent with the district's 81-point Democratic margin in 2024, drives the market's 98.2 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. A Republican victory would require unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate viability that have no recent precedent in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,763วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district, encompassing most of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in a Cook PVI of D+36 and voter registration favoring Democrats by roughly 56 points. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Scott Wiener and Connie Chan to the November general election, while Republican contenders combined for under 6 percent of the vote. This structural alignment, consistent with the district's 81-point Democratic margin in 2024, drives the market's 98.2 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. A Republican victory would require unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate viability that have no recent precedent in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,763วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district, encompassing most of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in a Cook PVI of D+36 and voter registration favoring Democrats by roughly 56 points. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Scott Wiener and Connie Chan to the November general election, while Republican contenders combined for under 6 percent of the vote. This structural alignment, consistent with the district's 81-point Democratic margin in 2024, drives the market's 98.2 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. A Republican victory would require unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate viability that have no recent precedent in the district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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