Minnesota's consistent Democratic lean in federal elections underpins trader consensus favoring Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan at 92.5% for the open Senate seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 with roughly 59% in the primary, drawing on her statewide profile and party infrastructure against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster who prevailed in her primary. The state's recent voting patterns and structural advantages for Democrats in Senate contests reinforce the wide gap in implied probabilities. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as major candidate scandals, significant national partisan swings, or turnout surprises in key suburban or rural areas before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$41,219 ปริมาณ
$41,219 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
93%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$41,219 ปริมาณ
$41,219 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$26,491 ปริมาณ
93%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$14,728 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's consistent Democratic lean in federal elections underpins trader consensus favoring Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan at 92.5% for the open Senate seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 with roughly 59% in the primary, drawing on her statewide profile and party infrastructure against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster who prevailed in her primary. The state's recent voting patterns and structural advantages for Democrats in Senate contests reinforce the wide gap in implied probabilities. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as major candidate scandals, significant national partisan swings, or turnout surprises in key suburban or rural areas before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,219วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's consistent Democratic lean in federal elections underpins trader consensus favoring Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan at 92.5% for the open Senate seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 with roughly 59% in the primary, drawing on her statewide profile and party infrastructure against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster who prevailed in her primary. The state's recent voting patterns and structural advantages for Democrats in Senate contests reinforce the wide gap in implied probabilities. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as major candidate scandals, significant national partisan swings, or turnout surprises in key suburban or rural areas before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,219วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's consistent Democratic lean in federal elections underpins trader consensus favoring Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan at 92.5% for the open Senate seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 with roughly 59% in the primary, drawing on her statewide profile and party infrastructure against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster who prevailed in her primary. The state's recent voting patterns and structural advantages for Democrats in Senate contests reinforce the wide gap in implied probabilities. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as major candidate scandals, significant national partisan swings, or turnout surprises in key suburban or rural areas before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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