The open Minnesota U.S. Senate seat following incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement has traders pricing a Democratic hold at 91.5%, reflecting the state's partisan lean toward Democrats—evident in recent statewide victories—and early general election polls showing leading contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan defeating Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points in February Emerson surveys. Democratic primary polling as recent as late April indicates Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig, with the crowded GOP field lacking a dominant figure amid fundraising gaps favoring Democrats. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a consolidated Republican nominee, national midterm wave dynamics, a polarizing Democratic primary outcome, scandals, or economic pressures before the August 11 primaries and November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$23,149 ปริมาณ
$23,149 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
7%
$23,149 ปริมาณ
$23,149 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$16,428 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican
$6,722 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Minnesota U.S. Senate seat following incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement has traders pricing a Democratic hold at 91.5%, reflecting the state's partisan lean toward Democrats—evident in recent statewide victories—and early general election polls showing leading contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan defeating Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points in February Emerson surveys. Democratic primary polling as recent as late April indicates Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig, with the crowded GOP field lacking a dominant figure amid fundraising gaps favoring Democrats. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a consolidated Republican nominee, national midterm wave dynamics, a polarizing Democratic primary outcome, scandals, or economic pressures before the August 11 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,149วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Minnesota U.S. Senate seat following incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement has traders pricing a Democratic hold at 91.5%, reflecting the state's partisan lean toward Democrats—evident in recent statewide victories—and early general election polls showing leading contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan defeating Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points in February Emerson surveys. Democratic primary polling as recent as late April indicates Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig, with the crowded GOP field lacking a dominant figure amid fundraising gaps favoring Democrats. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a consolidated Republican nominee, national midterm wave dynamics, a polarizing Democratic primary outcome, scandals, or economic pressures before the August 11 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,149วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Minnesota U.S. Senate seat following incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement has traders pricing a Democratic hold at 91.5%, reflecting the state's partisan lean toward Democrats—evident in recent statewide victories—and early general election polls showing leading contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan defeating Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points in February Emerson surveys. Democratic primary polling as recent as late April indicates Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig, with the crowded GOP field lacking a dominant figure amid fundraising gaps favoring Democrats. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a consolidated Republican nominee, national midterm wave dynamics, a polarizing Democratic primary outcome, scandals, or economic pressures before the August 11 primaries and November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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