Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman drive trader consensus implying a 91.5% probability of a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026, election. The latest Siena College survey (April 27-30, 2026) shows Hochul ahead 49%-33%, widening her margin despite her favorability dipping to 41% amid budget debates—reflecting Blakeman's low name recognition among voters outside Long Island. New York's 2-to-1 Democratic registration advantage and dominant performance in urban areas like New York City solidify this frontrunner status ahead of June 23 primaries. Realistic challenges include a high-profile GOP primary upset yielding a stronger nominee, a major scandal eroding Hochul's incumbency edge, or national Republican momentum boosting suburban turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew York Governor Election Winner
New York Governor Election Winner
$53,216 ปริมาณ
$53,216 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
9%
$53,216 ปริมาณ
$53,216 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$26,927 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican
$26,289 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman drive trader consensus implying a 91.5% probability of a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026, election. The latest Siena College survey (April 27-30, 2026) shows Hochul ahead 49%-33%, widening her margin despite her favorability dipping to 41% amid budget debates—reflecting Blakeman's low name recognition among voters outside Long Island. New York's 2-to-1 Democratic registration advantage and dominant performance in urban areas like New York City solidify this frontrunner status ahead of June 23 primaries. Realistic challenges include a high-profile GOP primary upset yielding a stronger nominee, a major scandal eroding Hochul's incumbency edge, or national Republican momentum boosting suburban turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,216วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman drive trader consensus implying a 91.5% probability of a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026, election. The latest Siena College survey (April 27-30, 2026) shows Hochul ahead 49%-33%, widening her margin despite her favorability dipping to 41% amid budget debates—reflecting Blakeman's low name recognition among voters outside Long Island. New York's 2-to-1 Democratic registration advantage and dominant performance in urban areas like New York City solidify this frontrunner status ahead of June 23 primaries. Realistic challenges include a high-profile GOP primary upset yielding a stronger nominee, a major scandal eroding Hochul's incumbency edge, or national Republican momentum boosting suburban turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,216วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman drive trader consensus implying a 91.5% probability of a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026, election. The latest Siena College survey (April 27-30, 2026) shows Hochul ahead 49%-33%, widening her margin despite her favorability dipping to 41% amid budget debates—reflecting Blakeman's low name recognition among voters outside Long Island. New York's 2-to-1 Democratic registration advantage and dominant performance in urban areas like New York City solidify this frontrunner status ahead of June 23 primaries. Realistic challenges include a high-profile GOP primary upset yielding a stronger nominee, a major scandal eroding Hochul's incumbency edge, or national Republican momentum boosting suburban turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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