Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 93.5 percent. New York's longstanding Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Hochul's primary win and consistent polling leads of roughly 10 points in recent Siena surveys among likely voters, underpin this assessment. Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive, trails despite emphasis on affordability, taxes, and public safety. Factors sustaining the gap include the state's partisan composition and Hochul's edge on key voter concerns such as housing. Scenarios that could realistically narrow or reverse the outlook include major late-campaign developments, shifts in economic conditions, or turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters in downstate areas.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew York Governor Election Winner
New York Governor Election Winner
$94,564 ปริมาณ
$94,564 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
6%
$94,564 ปริมาณ
$94,564 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$45,515 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican
$49,050 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 93.5 percent. New York's longstanding Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Hochul's primary win and consistent polling leads of roughly 10 points in recent Siena surveys among likely voters, underpin this assessment. Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive, trails despite emphasis on affordability, taxes, and public safety. Factors sustaining the gap include the state's partisan composition and Hochul's edge on key voter concerns such as housing. Scenarios that could realistically narrow or reverse the outlook include major late-campaign developments, shifts in economic conditions, or turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters in downstate areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,564วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 93.5 percent. New York's longstanding Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Hochul's primary win and consistent polling leads of roughly 10 points in recent Siena surveys among likely voters, underpin this assessment. Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive, trails despite emphasis on affordability, taxes, and public safety. Factors sustaining the gap include the state's partisan composition and Hochul's edge on key voter concerns such as housing. Scenarios that could realistically narrow or reverse the outlook include major late-campaign developments, shifts in economic conditions, or turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters in downstate areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,564วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 93.5 percent. New York's longstanding Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Hochul's primary win and consistent polling leads of roughly 10 points in recent Siena surveys among likely voters, underpin this assessment. Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive, trails despite emphasis on affordability, taxes, and public safety. Factors sustaining the gap include the state's partisan composition and Hochul's edge on key voter concerns such as housing. Scenarios that could realistically narrow or reverse the outlook include major late-campaign developments, shifts in economic conditions, or turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters in downstate areas.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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