Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro's strong job approval ratings around 60%, consistent double-digit polling leads over Republican State Treasurer Stacy Garrity—such as Quinnipiac's February survey showing 55%-37% and Susquehanna's April poll indicating a commanding margin—and massive fundraising advantage have solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026, Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. As the sole Democratic primary contender ahead of the May 19 primaries, Shapiro benefits from incumbency in this swing state, where recent polls reflect broad support across key voting blocs. While odds exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee emerging post-primary, late scandals, economic downturns, or national political waves altering turnout dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
$17,169 ปริมาณ
$17,169 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
6%
$17,169 ปริมาณ
$17,169 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$6,411 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican
$10,758 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro's strong job approval ratings around 60%, consistent double-digit polling leads over Republican State Treasurer Stacy Garrity—such as Quinnipiac's February survey showing 55%-37% and Susquehanna's April poll indicating a commanding margin—and massive fundraising advantage have solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026, Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. As the sole Democratic primary contender ahead of the May 19 primaries, Shapiro benefits from incumbency in this swing state, where recent polls reflect broad support across key voting blocs. While odds exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee emerging post-primary, late scandals, economic downturns, or national political waves altering turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,169วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro's strong job approval ratings around 60%, consistent double-digit polling leads over Republican State Treasurer Stacy Garrity—such as Quinnipiac's February survey showing 55%-37% and Susquehanna's April poll indicating a commanding margin—and massive fundraising advantage have solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026, Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. As the sole Democratic primary contender ahead of the May 19 primaries, Shapiro benefits from incumbency in this swing state, where recent polls reflect broad support across key voting blocs. While odds exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee emerging post-primary, late scandals, economic downturns, or national political waves altering turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,169วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro's strong job approval ratings around 60%, consistent double-digit polling leads over Republican State Treasurer Stacy Garrity—such as Quinnipiac's February survey showing 55%-37% and Susquehanna's April poll indicating a commanding margin—and massive fundraising advantage have solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026, Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. As the sole Democratic primary contender ahead of the May 19 primaries, Shapiro benefits from incumbency in this swing state, where recent polls reflect broad support across key voting blocs. While odds exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee emerging post-primary, late scandals, economic downturns, or national political waves altering turnout dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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