Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around a 95% implied probability of a Democratic victory. Multiple August polls show Shapiro leading Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity by 16 to 25 points among likely voters, supported by strong approval ratings near 56%, broad crossover appeal, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million. Pennsylvania's pattern of reelecting governors by wide margins and Shapiro's advantages on key issues such as the economy reinforce this positioning. Realistic challenges include late-campaign economic shifts, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen developments that could narrow the gap in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
$49,101 ปริมาณ
$49,101 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
3%
$49,101 ปริมาณ
$49,101 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$7,465 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican
$41,635 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around a 95% implied probability of a Democratic victory. Multiple August polls show Shapiro leading Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity by 16 to 25 points among likely voters, supported by strong approval ratings near 56%, broad crossover appeal, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million. Pennsylvania's pattern of reelecting governors by wide margins and Shapiro's advantages on key issues such as the economy reinforce this positioning. Realistic challenges include late-campaign economic shifts, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen developments that could narrow the gap in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,101วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around a 95% implied probability of a Democratic victory. Multiple August polls show Shapiro leading Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity by 16 to 25 points among likely voters, supported by strong approval ratings near 56%, broad crossover appeal, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million. Pennsylvania's pattern of reelecting governors by wide margins and Shapiro's advantages on key issues such as the economy reinforce this positioning. Realistic challenges include late-campaign economic shifts, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen developments that could narrow the gap in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,101วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around a 95% implied probability of a Democratic victory. Multiple August polls show Shapiro leading Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity by 16 to 25 points among likely voters, supported by strong approval ratings near 56%, broad crossover appeal, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million. Pennsylvania's pattern of reelecting governors by wide margins and Shapiro's advantages on key issues such as the economy reinforce this positioning. Realistic challenges include late-campaign economic shifts, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen developments that could narrow the gap in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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