Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont's commanding trader consensus at 92.5% stems from his sustained high approval ratings around 55-63%—among the nation's strongest—and a fragmented Republican primary field weakened by recent withdrawals, including former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart's suspension on the eve of the party convention. Lamont dominates his own August 11 primary over challenger Josh Elliott, buoyed by incumbency advantages in deep-blue Connecticut, where Democrats hold legislative supermajorities and no Republican has won since 1990. Absent general election polls, traders price in historical base rates favoring popular incumbents. Upsets could arise from a Lamont primary loss, GOP nominee consolidation behind a strong fundraiser, personal scandal, or national Republican wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$1,750 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican
$2,490 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont's commanding trader consensus at 92.5% stems from his sustained high approval ratings around 55-63%—among the nation's strongest—and a fragmented Republican primary field weakened by recent withdrawals, including former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart's suspension on the eve of the party convention. Lamont dominates his own August 11 primary over challenger Josh Elliott, buoyed by incumbency advantages in deep-blue Connecticut, where Democrats hold legislative supermajorities and no Republican has won since 1990. Absent general election polls, traders price in historical base rates favoring popular incumbents. Upsets could arise from a Lamont primary loss, GOP nominee consolidation behind a strong fundraiser, personal scandal, or national Republican wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,241วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont's commanding trader consensus at 92.5% stems from his sustained high approval ratings around 55-63%—among the nation's strongest—and a fragmented Republican primary field weakened by recent withdrawals, including former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart's suspension on the eve of the party convention. Lamont dominates his own August 11 primary over challenger Josh Elliott, buoyed by incumbency advantages in deep-blue Connecticut, where Democrats hold legislative supermajorities and no Republican has won since 1990. Absent general election polls, traders price in historical base rates favoring popular incumbents. Upsets could arise from a Lamont primary loss, GOP nominee consolidation behind a strong fundraiser, personal scandal, or national Republican wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,241วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont's commanding trader consensus at 92.5% stems from his sustained high approval ratings around 55-63%—among the nation's strongest—and a fragmented Republican primary field weakened by recent withdrawals, including former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart's suspension on the eve of the party convention. Lamont dominates his own August 11 primary over challenger Josh Elliott, buoyed by incumbency advantages in deep-blue Connecticut, where Democrats hold legislative supermajorities and no Republican has won since 1990. Absent general election polls, traders price in historical base rates favoring popular incumbents. Upsets could arise from a Lamont primary loss, GOP nominee consolidation behind a strong fundraiser, personal scandal, or national Republican wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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