Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper's nomination victory in the June 30 primary against a progressive challenger has reinforced his position as the clear frontrunner in Colorado's solidly Democratic-leaning Senate race. The state's voting patterns in recent federal elections, combined with the incumbent's established name recognition and fundraising edge, have produced trader consensus around a high probability of a Democratic hold. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, advancing unopposed, faces structural headwinds including limited statewide support and the absence of major competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election in comparable states suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วColorado Senate Election Winner
Colorado Senate Election Winner
$47,965 ปริมาณ
$47,965 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
3%
$47,965 ปริมาณ
$47,965 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$12,463 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican
$35,502 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper's nomination victory in the June 30 primary against a progressive challenger has reinforced his position as the clear frontrunner in Colorado's solidly Democratic-leaning Senate race. The state's voting patterns in recent federal elections, combined with the incumbent's established name recognition and fundraising edge, have produced trader consensus around a high probability of a Democratic hold. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, advancing unopposed, faces structural headwinds including limited statewide support and the absence of major competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election in comparable states suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,965วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper's nomination victory in the June 30 primary against a progressive challenger has reinforced his position as the clear frontrunner in Colorado's solidly Democratic-leaning Senate race. The state's voting patterns in recent federal elections, combined with the incumbent's established name recognition and fundraising edge, have produced trader consensus around a high probability of a Democratic hold. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, advancing unopposed, faces structural headwinds including limited statewide support and the absence of major competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election in comparable states suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,965วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper's nomination victory in the June 30 primary against a progressive challenger has reinforced his position as the clear frontrunner in Colorado's solidly Democratic-leaning Senate race. The state's voting patterns in recent federal elections, combined with the incumbent's established name recognition and fundraising edge, have produced trader consensus around a high probability of a Democratic hold. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, advancing unopposed, faces structural headwinds including limited statewide support and the absence of major competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election in comparable states suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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