Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper's commanding fundraising lead—nearly $9 million raised versus challenger Julie Gonzales's $443,000 as of late March—positions him as the overwhelming favorite in the June 30 primary, bolstering trader consensus on a Democratic general election hold in November. Colorado's shift to a reliably blue state, with Democrats controlling both Senate seats, statewide offices, and legislative majorities since GOP's last Senate win in 2004, underpins the 91.5% implied probability, reinforced by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others amid a thin Republican field led by low-funded state Sen. Mark Baisley. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise weakening the nominee, Hickenlooper scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วColorado Senate Election Winner
Colorado Senate Election Winner
$34,957 ปริมาณ
$34,957 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
9%
$34,957 ปริมาณ
$34,957 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$8,333 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican
$26,623 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper's commanding fundraising lead—nearly $9 million raised versus challenger Julie Gonzales's $443,000 as of late March—positions him as the overwhelming favorite in the June 30 primary, bolstering trader consensus on a Democratic general election hold in November. Colorado's shift to a reliably blue state, with Democrats controlling both Senate seats, statewide offices, and legislative majorities since GOP's last Senate win in 2004, underpins the 91.5% implied probability, reinforced by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others amid a thin Republican field led by low-funded state Sen. Mark Baisley. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise weakening the nominee, Hickenlooper scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,957วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper's commanding fundraising lead—nearly $9 million raised versus challenger Julie Gonzales's $443,000 as of late March—positions him as the overwhelming favorite in the June 30 primary, bolstering trader consensus on a Democratic general election hold in November. Colorado's shift to a reliably blue state, with Democrats controlling both Senate seats, statewide offices, and legislative majorities since GOP's last Senate win in 2004, underpins the 91.5% implied probability, reinforced by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others amid a thin Republican field led by low-funded state Sen. Mark Baisley. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise weakening the nominee, Hickenlooper scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,957วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper's commanding fundraising lead—nearly $9 million raised versus challenger Julie Gonzales's $443,000 as of late March—positions him as the overwhelming favorite in the June 30 primary, bolstering trader consensus on a Democratic general election hold in November. Colorado's shift to a reliably blue state, with Democrats controlling both Senate seats, statewide offices, and legislative majorities since GOP's last Senate win in 2004, underpins the 91.5% implied probability, reinforced by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others amid a thin Republican field led by low-funded state Sen. Mark Baisley. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise weakening the nominee, Hickenlooper scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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