Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 93% in Wyoming's open-seat U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—last Democratic Senate win in 1977, Trump margins exceeding 45 points in 2024, and an R+23 partisan voter index. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement opened the contest, but Rep. Harriet Hageman leads the Republican primary field with endorsements from Trump, Lummis, and Sen. John Barrasso, facing challengers Sam Mead and Jimmy Skovgard ahead of the August 18 primaries. Democrats' James Byrd, a low-fundraising former state representative, poses minimal threat per historical base rates of 40-plus-point GOP margins. Shifts could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave, though barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWyoming Senate Election Winner
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
93%
Democrat
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$6,719 ปริมาณ
93%
Democrat
$2,439 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 93% in Wyoming's open-seat U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—last Democratic Senate win in 1977, Trump margins exceeding 45 points in 2024, and an R+23 partisan voter index. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement opened the contest, but Rep. Harriet Hageman leads the Republican primary field with endorsements from Trump, Lummis, and Sen. John Barrasso, facing challengers Sam Mead and Jimmy Skovgard ahead of the August 18 primaries. Democrats' James Byrd, a low-fundraising former state representative, poses minimal threat per historical base rates of 40-plus-point GOP margins. Shifts could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,158วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 93% in Wyoming's open-seat U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—last Democratic Senate win in 1977, Trump margins exceeding 45 points in 2024, and an R+23 partisan voter index. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement opened the contest, but Rep. Harriet Hageman leads the Republican primary field with endorsements from Trump, Lummis, and Sen. John Barrasso, facing challengers Sam Mead and Jimmy Skovgard ahead of the August 18 primaries. Democrats' James Byrd, a low-fundraising former state representative, poses minimal threat per historical base rates of 40-plus-point GOP margins. Shifts could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,158วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 93% in Wyoming's open-seat U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—last Democratic Senate win in 1977, Trump margins exceeding 45 points in 2024, and an R+23 partisan voter index. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement opened the contest, but Rep. Harriet Hageman leads the Republican primary field with endorsements from Trump, Lummis, and Sen. John Barrasso, facing challengers Sam Mead and Jimmy Skovgard ahead of the August 18 primaries. Democrats' James Byrd, a low-fundraising former state representative, poses minimal threat per historical base rates of 40-plus-point GOP margins. Shifts could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave, though barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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