Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle's commanding position in New York's 25th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic seat with his history of easy reelections, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party victory in the November 3 general election. Recent elevation by House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries on May 4 to lead New York redistricting efforts bolsters Morelle's profile ahead of the June 23 closed primaries, where he faces state Senator Robin Wilt while Republicans have nominated Monroe County Legislator Virginia McIntyre. Absent district-specific polls, odds reflect incumbency advantages and district partisan leanings akin to D+8 PVI precedents. Shifts could arise from a primary upset, GOP surge amid midterm dynamics, scandal, or late-breaking national trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-25 House Election Winner
NY-25 House Election Winner
$24,605 ปริมาณ
$24,605 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$24,605 ปริมาณ
$24,605 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,884 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$9,721 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle's commanding position in New York's 25th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic seat with his history of easy reelections, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party victory in the November 3 general election. Recent elevation by House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries on May 4 to lead New York redistricting efforts bolsters Morelle's profile ahead of the June 23 closed primaries, where he faces state Senator Robin Wilt while Republicans have nominated Monroe County Legislator Virginia McIntyre. Absent district-specific polls, odds reflect incumbency advantages and district partisan leanings akin to D+8 PVI precedents. Shifts could arise from a primary upset, GOP surge amid midterm dynamics, scandal, or late-breaking national trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,605วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle's commanding position in New York's 25th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic seat with his history of easy reelections, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party victory in the November 3 general election. Recent elevation by House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries on May 4 to lead New York redistricting efforts bolsters Morelle's profile ahead of the June 23 closed primaries, where he faces state Senator Robin Wilt while Republicans have nominated Monroe County Legislator Virginia McIntyre. Absent district-specific polls, odds reflect incumbency advantages and district partisan leanings akin to D+8 PVI precedents. Shifts could arise from a primary upset, GOP surge amid midterm dynamics, scandal, or late-breaking national trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,605วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle's commanding position in New York's 25th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic seat with his history of easy reelections, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party victory in the November 3 general election. Recent elevation by House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries on May 4 to lead New York redistricting efforts bolsters Morelle's profile ahead of the June 23 closed primaries, where he faces state Senator Robin Wilt while Republicans have nominated Monroe County Legislator Virginia McIntyre. Absent district-specific polls, odds reflect incumbency advantages and district partisan leanings akin to D+8 PVI precedents. Shifts could arise from a primary upset, GOP surge amid midterm dynamics, scandal, or late-breaking national trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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