Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a conservative stronghold in northwestern Iowa, anchored by rural voters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+15, where the Republican nominee enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner following incumbent Randy Feenstra's retirement to pursue the governorship. The party has coalesced behind Trump-endorsed candidate Chris McGowan in the June 2 primary, preserving the advantages of incumbency patterns and prior 67 percent victory margins in the district. Democrats face a three-way primary among lesser-known contenders and limited fundraising, offering little prospect of narrowing the gap in this solidly Republican territory. The 92 percent Republican pricing reflects these structural factors, though a late surge in Democratic turnout, an unusually weak Republican nominee, or major national shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-04 House Election Winner
IA-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,946 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$4,946 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a conservative stronghold in northwestern Iowa, anchored by rural voters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+15, where the Republican nominee enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner following incumbent Randy Feenstra's retirement to pursue the governorship. The party has coalesced behind Trump-endorsed candidate Chris McGowan in the June 2 primary, preserving the advantages of incumbency patterns and prior 67 percent victory margins in the district. Democrats face a three-way primary among lesser-known contenders and limited fundraising, offering little prospect of narrowing the gap in this solidly Republican territory. The 92 percent Republican pricing reflects these structural factors, though a late surge in Democratic turnout, an unusually weak Republican nominee, or major national shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,892วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a conservative stronghold in northwestern Iowa, anchored by rural voters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+15, where the Republican nominee enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner following incumbent Randy Feenstra's retirement to pursue the governorship. The party has coalesced behind Trump-endorsed candidate Chris McGowan in the June 2 primary, preserving the advantages of incumbency patterns and prior 67 percent victory margins in the district. Democrats face a three-way primary among lesser-known contenders and limited fundraising, offering little prospect of narrowing the gap in this solidly Republican territory. The 92 percent Republican pricing reflects these structural factors, though a late surge in Democratic turnout, an unusually weak Republican nominee, or major national shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,892วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a conservative stronghold in northwestern Iowa, anchored by rural voters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+15, where the Republican nominee enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner following incumbent Randy Feenstra's retirement to pursue the governorship. The party has coalesced behind Trump-endorsed candidate Chris McGowan in the June 2 primary, preserving the advantages of incumbency patterns and prior 67 percent victory margins in the district. Democrats face a three-way primary among lesser-known contenders and limited fundraising, offering little prospect of narrowing the gap in this solidly Republican territory. The 92 percent Republican pricing reflects these structural factors, though a late surge in Democratic turnout, an unusually weak Republican nominee, or major national shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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