Iowa's 2nd congressional district remains an open seat after Republican incumbent Ashley Hinson opted to run for Senate, creating the first competitive contest since the district's boundaries were redrawn. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+4 and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, which supports the current 56.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Joe Mitchell secured the GOP nomination in the June 2 primary with backing from former President Trump, while Democrat Lindsay James won her party's primary and received endorsements such as from the Iowa Teamsters. With the general election set for November 3 and no major late-breaking developments reported in the past month, traders appear to weigh the district's underlying Republican tilt against the potential for Democratic gains in an open-seat environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-02 House Election Winner
IA-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
56%
Democratic Party
41%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$3,454 ปริมาณ
56%
Democratic Party
$3,164 ปริมาณ
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 2nd congressional district remains an open seat after Republican incumbent Ashley Hinson opted to run for Senate, creating the first competitive contest since the district's boundaries were redrawn. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+4 and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, which supports the current 56.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Joe Mitchell secured the GOP nomination in the June 2 primary with backing from former President Trump, while Democrat Lindsay James won her party's primary and received endorsements such as from the Iowa Teamsters. With the general election set for November 3 and no major late-breaking developments reported in the past month, traders appear to weigh the district's underlying Republican tilt against the potential for Democratic gains in an open-seat environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,617วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 2nd congressional district remains an open seat after Republican incumbent Ashley Hinson opted to run for Senate, creating the first competitive contest since the district's boundaries were redrawn. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+4 and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, which supports the current 56.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Joe Mitchell secured the GOP nomination in the June 2 primary with backing from former President Trump, while Democrat Lindsay James won her party's primary and received endorsements such as from the Iowa Teamsters. With the general election set for November 3 and no major late-breaking developments reported in the past month, traders appear to weigh the district's underlying Republican tilt against the potential for Democratic gains in an open-seat environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,617วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 2nd congressional district remains an open seat after Republican incumbent Ashley Hinson opted to run for Senate, creating the first competitive contest since the district's boundaries were redrawn. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+4 and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, which supports the current 56.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Joe Mitchell secured the GOP nomination in the June 2 primary with backing from former President Trump, while Democrat Lindsay James won her party's primary and received endorsements such as from the Iowa Teamsters. With the general election set for November 3 and no major late-breaking developments reported in the past month, traders appear to weigh the district's underlying Republican tilt against the potential for Democratic gains in an open-seat environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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