Incumbent Rep. Trent Kelly's (R) unopposed March 10 primary victory and Mississippi's 1st Congressional District's strong R+18 partisan lean underpin trader consensus pricing Republican win at 94.5% for the November 3 general election. Kelly's consistent landslide margins—69.8% in 2024, 73% in 2022—combined with superior fundraising ($827,000 cash on hand vs. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson's $65,000 as of late March) and uniform Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others reflect the race's lack of competitiveness. Absent recent polling or catalysts in the past month, including Kelly's April service academy announcement, odds remain firm. Realistic challengers include a Kelly scandal, national Democratic midterm wave, health event, or legal dispute, though structural barriers loom large.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMS-01 House Election Winner
MS-01 House Election Winner
$105,411 ปริมาณ
$105,411 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$105,411 ปริมาณ
$105,411 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$77,078 ปริมาณ
95%
Democratic Party
$28,333 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Trent Kelly's (R) unopposed March 10 primary victory and Mississippi's 1st Congressional District's strong R+18 partisan lean underpin trader consensus pricing Republican win at 94.5% for the November 3 general election. Kelly's consistent landslide margins—69.8% in 2024, 73% in 2022—combined with superior fundraising ($827,000 cash on hand vs. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson's $65,000 as of late March) and uniform Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others reflect the race's lack of competitiveness. Absent recent polling or catalysts in the past month, including Kelly's April service academy announcement, odds remain firm. Realistic challengers include a Kelly scandal, national Democratic midterm wave, health event, or legal dispute, though structural barriers loom large.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,411วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Trent Kelly's (R) unopposed March 10 primary victory and Mississippi's 1st Congressional District's strong R+18 partisan lean underpin trader consensus pricing Republican win at 94.5% for the November 3 general election. Kelly's consistent landslide margins—69.8% in 2024, 73% in 2022—combined with superior fundraising ($827,000 cash on hand vs. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson's $65,000 as of late March) and uniform Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others reflect the race's lack of competitiveness. Absent recent polling or catalysts in the past month, including Kelly's April service academy announcement, odds remain firm. Realistic challengers include a Kelly scandal, national Democratic midterm wave, health event, or legal dispute, though structural barriers loom large.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,411วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Trent Kelly's (R) unopposed March 10 primary victory and Mississippi's 1st Congressional District's strong R+18 partisan lean underpin trader consensus pricing Republican win at 94.5% for the November 3 general election. Kelly's consistent landslide margins—69.8% in 2024, 73% in 2022—combined with superior fundraising ($827,000 cash on hand vs. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson's $65,000 as of late March) and uniform Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others reflect the race's lack of competitiveness. Absent recent polling or catalysts in the past month, including Kelly's April service academy announcement, odds remain firm. Realistic challengers include a Kelly scandal, national Democratic midterm wave, health event, or legal dispute, though structural barriers loom large.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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