Recent polling averages for Israel’s October 27 Knesset election place Ra’am at 5–6 seats, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities. The party’s independent run, following its August primary and September surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List, supports this range by reducing wasted votes in the allocation of remainders. Latest surveys, including those from Zman Yisrael and Channel 13, project Ra’am at 6 seats while the broader Arab bloc totals 12–14, reflecting stable Arab voter turnout and limited crossover. Disqualification petitions filed by Likud and Otzma Yehudit have not advanced beyond the Central Elections Committee stage, where prior challenges against Ra’am have failed at the High Court. These factors, combined with Ra’am’s positioning as a potential swing partner in coalition scenarios, anchor trader consensus around 4–6 seats ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6 32.5%
4 28%
5 24%
<4 3.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<4
3%
4
28%
5
24%
6
40%
7
1%
8+
1%
6 32.5%
4 28%
5 24%
<4 3.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$1,113 ปริมาณ
3%
4
$1,822 ปริมาณ
28%
5
$1,295 ปริมาณ
24%
6
$1,541 ปริมาณ
40%
7
$1,121 ปริมาณ
1%
8+
$900 ปริมาณ
1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel’s October 27 Knesset election place Ra’am at 5–6 seats, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities. The party’s independent run, following its August primary and September surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List, supports this range by reducing wasted votes in the allocation of remainders. Latest surveys, including those from Zman Yisrael and Channel 13, project Ra’am at 6 seats while the broader Arab bloc totals 12–14, reflecting stable Arab voter turnout and limited crossover. Disqualification petitions filed by Likud and Otzma Yehudit have not advanced beyond the Central Elections Committee stage, where prior challenges against Ra’am have failed at the High Court. These factors, combined with Ra’am’s positioning as a potential swing partner in coalition scenarios, anchor trader consensus around 4–6 seats ahead of the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,792วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel’s October 27 Knesset election place Ra’am at 5–6 seats, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities. The party’s independent run, following its August primary and September surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List, supports this range by reducing wasted votes in the allocation of remainders. Latest surveys, including those from Zman Yisrael and Channel 13, project Ra’am at 6 seats while the broader Arab bloc totals 12–14, reflecting stable Arab voter turnout and limited crossover. Disqualification petitions filed by Likud and Otzma Yehudit have not advanced beyond the Central Elections Committee stage, where prior challenges against Ra’am have failed at the High Court. These factors, combined with Ra’am’s positioning as a potential swing partner in coalition scenarios, anchor trader consensus around 4–6 seats ahead of the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,792วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for Israel’s October 27 Knesset election place Ra’am at 5–6 seats, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities. The party’s independent run, following its August primary and September surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List, supports this range by reducing wasted votes in the allocation of remainders. Latest surveys, including those from Zman Yisrael and Channel 13, project Ra’am at 6 seats while the broader Arab bloc totals 12–14, reflecting stable Arab voter turnout and limited crossover. Disqualification petitions filed by Likud and Otzma Yehudit have not advanced beyond the Central Elections Committee stage, where prior challenges against Ra’am have failed at the High Court. These factors, combined with Ra’am’s positioning as a potential swing partner in coalition scenarios, anchor trader consensus around 4–6 seats ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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