Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a D+20 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchored by its urban and suburban voter base in the Portland corridor. Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican Barbara Kahl emerged as the GOP nominee. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 95% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, the absence of competitive polling, and limited late-cycle developments that could alter the outcome. A national political wave, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
$27,327 ปริมาณ
$27,327 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$27,327 ปริมาณ
$27,327 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,566 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$16,762 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a D+20 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchored by its urban and suburban voter base in the Portland corridor. Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican Barbara Kahl emerged as the GOP nominee. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 95% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, the absence of competitive polling, and limited late-cycle developments that could alter the outcome. A national political wave, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,327วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a D+20 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchored by its urban and suburban voter base in the Portland corridor. Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican Barbara Kahl emerged as the GOP nominee. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 95% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, the absence of competitive polling, and limited late-cycle developments that could alter the outcome. A national political wave, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,327วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a D+20 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchored by its urban and suburban voter base in the Portland corridor. Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican Barbara Kahl emerged as the GOP nominee. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 95% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, the absence of competitive polling, and limited late-cycle developments that could alter the outcome. A national political wave, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย