Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling rural district's consistent Republican lean since 1981, combined with its R+14 partisan voting index and Bentz's 64% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus near 94.5% for the Republican outcome. Strong fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from outlets like Cook Political Report further reinforce positioning. A national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, or sharp turnout shift could still narrow the gap, though the district's structural makeup limits realistic paths to a Democratic victory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOR-02 House Election Winner
OR-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,187 ปริมาณ
95%
Democratic Party
$4,650 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling rural district's consistent Republican lean since 1981, combined with its R+14 partisan voting index and Bentz's 64% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus near 94.5% for the Republican outcome. Strong fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from outlets like Cook Political Report further reinforce positioning. A national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, or sharp turnout shift could still narrow the gap, though the district's structural makeup limits realistic paths to a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,837วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling rural district's consistent Republican lean since 1981, combined with its R+14 partisan voting index and Bentz's 64% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus near 94.5% for the Republican outcome. Strong fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from outlets like Cook Political Report further reinforce positioning. A national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, or sharp turnout shift could still narrow the gap, though the district's structural makeup limits realistic paths to a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,837วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling rural district's consistent Republican lean since 1981, combined with its R+14 partisan voting index and Bentz's 64% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus near 94.5% for the Republican outcome. Strong fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from outlets like Cook Political Report further reinforce positioning. A national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, or sharp turnout shift could still narrow the gap, though the district's structural makeup limits realistic paths to a Democratic victory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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