Tarcísio de Freitas holds a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race due to his incumbency advantage as the Republican seeking reelection, combined with consistent double-digit leads in recent polling from firms including Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas. These surveys place him at 41–52% of voting intentions against Fernando Haddad of the Workers’ Party at 26–35%, with other declared or potential contenders such as Erika Hilton, Kim Kataguiri, and Márcio França polling in the low single digits or below. Tarcísio formally launched his bid in early August 2026 with support from key right-wing figures, consolidating backing ahead of the October 4 first-round vote and possible October 25 runoff. Trader consensus aligns with these trends, though shifts could arise from unexpected turnout patterns, debate performances, coalition realignments, or major late-campaign events before the runoff threshold is determined.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTarcísio de Freitas 94%
Fernando Haddad 4.0%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$278,966 ปริมาณ
$278,966 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
94%
Fernando Haddad
4%
Erika Hilton
1%
Kim Kataguiri
<1%
Márcio França
<1%
Tarcísio de Freitas 94%
Fernando Haddad 4.0%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$278,966 ปริมาณ
$278,966 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
$122,984 ปริมาณ
94%
Fernando Haddad
$46,833 ปริมาณ
4%
Erika Hilton
$22,704 ปริมาณ
1%
Kim Kataguiri
$75,777 ปริมาณ
<1%
Márcio França
$10,668 ปริมาณ
<1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas holds a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race due to his incumbency advantage as the Republican seeking reelection, combined with consistent double-digit leads in recent polling from firms including Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas. These surveys place him at 41–52% of voting intentions against Fernando Haddad of the Workers’ Party at 26–35%, with other declared or potential contenders such as Erika Hilton, Kim Kataguiri, and Márcio França polling in the low single digits or below. Tarcísio formally launched his bid in early August 2026 with support from key right-wing figures, consolidating backing ahead of the October 4 first-round vote and possible October 25 runoff. Trader consensus aligns with these trends, though shifts could arise from unexpected turnout patterns, debate performances, coalition realignments, or major late-campaign events before the runoff threshold is determined.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$278,966วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas holds a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race due to his incumbency advantage as the Republican seeking reelection, combined with consistent double-digit leads in recent polling from firms including Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas. These surveys place him at 41–52% of voting intentions against Fernando Haddad of the Workers’ Party at 26–35%, with other declared or potential contenders such as Erika Hilton, Kim Kataguiri, and Márcio França polling in the low single digits or below. Tarcísio formally launched his bid in early August 2026 with support from key right-wing figures, consolidating backing ahead of the October 4 first-round vote and possible October 25 runoff. Trader consensus aligns with these trends, though shifts could arise from unexpected turnout patterns, debate performances, coalition realignments, or major late-campaign events before the runoff threshold is determined.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$278,966วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarcísio de Freitas holds a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race due to his incumbency advantage as the Republican seeking reelection, combined with consistent double-digit leads in recent polling from firms including Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas. These surveys place him at 41–52% of voting intentions against Fernando Haddad of the Workers’ Party at 26–35%, with other declared or potential contenders such as Erika Hilton, Kim Kataguiri, and Márcio França polling in the low single digits or below. Tarcísio formally launched his bid in early August 2026 with support from key right-wing figures, consolidating backing ahead of the October 4 first-round vote and possible October 25 runoff. Trader consensus aligns with these trends, though shifts could arise from unexpected turnout patterns, debate performances, coalition realignments, or major late-campaign events before the runoff threshold is determined.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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